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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Nicolae Negumereanu won · S-DEC R3

Elo1499

Elo1504

Nicolae NegumereanuvsKennedy NzechukwuUFC Prediction Result

UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · Saturday, March 5, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nicolae Negumereanu won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNicolae Negumereanu: Well-roundedvsKennedy Nzechukwu: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins(65.8%)

Actual result: Nicolae Negumereanu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kennedy Nzechukwu at -135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kennedy Nzechukwu is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Nicolae Negumereanu has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Kennedy Nzechukwu has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Kennedy Nzechukwu has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kennedy Nzechukwu (53.5%).
Kennedy Nzechukwu has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nicolae Negumereanu

Red Corner

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1499

Elo

1504

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'5"

198.12 cm

Reach

210.82 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nicolae Negumereanu

oldest →

vs Saparbeg Safarov · Mar 19

vs Aleksa Camur · Jun 21

KOvs Ike Villanueva · Oct 21

KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jul 22

KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 22

latest

Kennedy Nzechukwu

oldest →

vs Ovince Saint Preux · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Barnett · Oct 24

KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Dec 24

SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 25

vs Marcus Buchecha · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nicolae NegumereanuMetricKennedy Nzechukwu

3.58

Strikes / min

4.96

5.56

Strikes absorbed / min

4.58

39%

Strike defense

51%

1.02

TDs / 15 min

0.50

62%

Takedown defense

80%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.98Δ 2.36 — meaningful gap+0.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nicolae NegumereanuKennedy Nzechukwu

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nicolae Negumereanu(6 fights)Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.9|Blue +4.9

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nicolae NegumereanuTargetKennedy Nzechukwu

By target zone

29% acc · 56%

Head

47% acc · 88%

70% acc · 11%

Body

85% acc · 12%

88% acc · 33%

Leg

By position

37% acc · 86%

Distance

49% acc · 97%

90% acc · 14%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nicolae Negumereanu rounds

even

Kennedy Nzechukwu rounds

Round 1Nicolae Negumereanu edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control2:43

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Kennedy Nzechukwu edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:45

55Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 160

Sig Strikes

95 / 190

40.3%

Sig Str %

51.7%

81 / 178

Total Strikes

97 / 192

1 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

16.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:28

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kennedy Nzechukwu	16 / 28	16 / 28	0 / 0
1	Nicolae Negumereanu	20 / 44	20 / 44	0 / 0
2	Kennedy Nzechukwu	24 / 48	26 / 50	0 / 0
2	Nicolae Negumereanu	17 / 42	31 / 57	1 / 3
3	Kennedy Nzechukwu	55 / 114	55 / 114	0 / 0
3	Nicolae Negumereanu	27 / 74	30 / 77	0 / 2

Nicolae Negumereanu

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights6

Kennedy Nzechukwu

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach83.0"

Fights15