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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Nicolae Negumereanu won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1499

Elo1422

Nicolae NegumereanuvsIke VillanuevaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Saturday, October 23, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nicolae Negumereanu won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:18

Style matchupNicolae Negumereanu: Well-roundedvsIke Villanueva: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Nicolae Negumereanu wins(74.5%)

Actual result: Nicolae Negumereanu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nicolae Negumereanu at -240 American odds

+$42 profit

$142 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nicolae Negumereanu is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Ike Villanueva has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Ike Villanueva is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Nicolae Negumereanu has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Ike Villanueva has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Nicolae Negumereanu has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nicolae Negumereanu

Red Corner

Ike Villanueva

Blue Corner

-240

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+195

(34%)

1499

Elo

1422

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'1"

198.12 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nicolae Negumereanu

oldest →

vs Saparbeg Safarov · Mar 19

vs Aleksa Camur · Jun 21

vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 22

KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jul 22

KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 22

latest

Ike VillanuevaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chase Sherman · May 20

KOvs Jordan Wright · Aug 20

KOvs Vinicius Moreira · Jan 21

KOvs Marcin Prachnio · Jun 21

KOvs Tyson Pedro · Apr 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nicolae NegumereanuMetricIke Villanueva

3.58

Strikes / min

3.66

5.56

Strikes absorbed / min

7.24

39%

Strike defense

36%

1.02

TDs / 15 min

0.60

62%

Takedown defense

100%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.98Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap-3.58

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nicolae NegumereanuIke Villanueva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nicolae Negumereanu(6 fights)Ike Villanueva(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +77.1|Blue -77.1

Recent Form

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nicolae NegumereanuTargetIke Villanueva

By target zone

44% acc · 73%

Head

26% acc · 71%

Body

100% acc · 29%

100% acc · 27%

Leg

By position

50% acc · 64%

Distance

35% acc · 100%

100% acc · 9%

Clinch

0% acc

50% acc · 27%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nicolae Negumereanu rounds

even

Ike Villanueva rounds

Round 1Nicolae Negumereanu edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:20

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 21

Sig Strikes

7 / 21

52%

Sig Str %

33%

11 / 21

Total Strikes

7 / 21

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:20

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ike Villanueva	7 / 21	7 / 21	0 / 1	0
1	Nicolae Negumereanu	11 / 21	11 / 21	0 / 1	0

Nicolae Negumereanu

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights6

Ike Villanueva

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6