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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Nicolae Negumereanu won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1499

Elo1479

Nicolae NegumereanuvsIhor PotieriaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · Saturday, July 30, 2022Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Nicolae Negumereanu won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:33

Style matchupNicolae Negumereanu: Well-roundedvsIhor Potieria: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Ihor Potieria wins(60.0%)

Actual result: Nicolae Negumereanu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ihor Potieria at +120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ihor Potieria enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Nicolae Negumereanu is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Ihor Potieria has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Ihor Potieria is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Nicolae Negumereanu has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Ihor Potieria has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Ihor Potieria (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Nicolae Negumereanu

Red Corner

Ihor Potieria

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1499

Elo

1479

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'3"

198.12 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nicolae Negumereanu

oldest →

vs Saparbeg Safarov · Mar 19

vs Aleksa Camur · Jun 21

KOvs Ike Villanueva · Oct 21

vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 22

KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 22

latest

Ihor PotieriaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rodolfo Bellato · Dec 23

vs Robert Bryczek · Feb 24

SUBvs Michel Pereira · May 24

vs Cesar Almeida · Oct 24

KOvs Marco Tulio · Jan 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nicolae NegumereanuMetricIhor Potieria

3.58

Strikes / min

4.44

5.56

Strikes absorbed / min

4.96

39%

Strike defense

50%

1.02

TDs / 15 min

0.73

62%

Takedown defense

66%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.98Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap-0.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nicolae NegumereanuIhor Potieria

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nicolae Negumereanu(6 fights)Ihor Potieria(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +19.7|Blue -19.7

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nicolae NegumereanuTargetIhor Potieria

By target zone

52% acc · 86%

Head

45% acc · 68%

64% acc · 14%

Body

100% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 24%

By position

40% acc · 45%

Distance

50% acc · 82%

78% acc · 49%

Clinch

86% acc · 16%

50% acc · 6%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nicolae Negumereanu rounds

even

Ihor Potieria rounds

Round 1Nicolae Negumereanu edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns2

Control3:36

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Nicolae Negumereanu edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control0:25

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

51 / 95

Sig Strikes

38 / 70

49.5%

Sig Str %

51%

72 / 122

Total Strikes

52 / 85

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

66%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:01

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ihor Potieria	7 / 15	20 / 29	0 / 0
1	Nicolae Negumereanu	8 / 18	29 / 45	2 / 3
2	Ihor Potieria	31 / 55	32 / 56	0 / 0
2	Nicolae Negumereanu	43 / 77	43 / 77	0 / 0

Nicolae Negumereanu

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights6

Ihor Potieria

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8