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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Albert Tumenov won · Decision R3
Elo1360
Elo1358
Albert Tumenov

Nico MusokevsAlbert TumenovUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · Saturday, January 24, 2015Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Albert Tumenov won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nico Musoke wins(66.9%)

Actual result: Albert Tumenov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nico Musoke at +140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Nico Musoke
Red Corner
VS
Albert Tumenov
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
1360
Elo
1358
28
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nico Musoke
oldest →
W
SUBvs Alessio Sakara · Oct 13
W
DECvs Viscardi Andrade · Feb 14
L
DECvs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 14
W
DECvs Alexander Yakovlev · Oct 14
L
KOvs Bojan Velickovic · May 17
latest
Albert TumenovL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Matt Dwyer · Oct 14
W
KOvs Alan Jouban · Oct 15
W
vs Lorenz Larkin · Jan 16
L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · May 16
L
SUBvs Leon Edwards · Oct 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nico MusokeMetricAlbert Tumenov
—
Strikes / min
3.76
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.34
—
Strike defense
58%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.20
—
Takedown defense
75%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1534 vs 1519Strikes40.8 vs 14.0Takedowns1.3 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.25 vs 0.00Form0.4 vs 0.5
Nico MusokeAlbert Tumenov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Nico Musoke(6 fights)Albert Tumenov(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +2.3|Blue -2.3
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Nico Musoke

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3

Albert Tumenov

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8