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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Tim Boetsch won · U-DEC R3

Elo1353

Elo1371

Nick RingvsTim BoetschUFC Prediction Result

UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · Saturday, September 24, 2011Denver, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Tim Boetsch won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nick Ring wins(69.6%)

Actual result: Tim Boetsch wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nick Ring at +177 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Nick Ring (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Nick Ring

Red Corner

Tim Boetsch

Blue Corner

+177

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-192

(66%)

1353

Elo

1371

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nick RingL2 streak

oldest →

vs Riki Fukuda · Feb 11

SUBvs James Head · Jun 11

vs Court McGee · Jul 12

vs Chris Camozzi · Mar 13

vs Caio Magalhaes · Dec 13

latest

Tim BoetschL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16

SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17

KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17

SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18

vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nick RingMetricTim Boetsch

3.52

Strikes / min

2.93

3.48

Strikes absorbed / min

2.90

62%

Strike defense

57%

1.36

TDs / 15 min

1.45

52%

Takedown defense

59%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.04evenly matched on net striking+0.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nick RingTim Boetsch

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nick Ring(6 fights)Tim Boetsch(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -18.6|Blue +18.6

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nick RingTargetTim Boetsch

By target zone

22% acc · 45%

Head

50% acc · 67%

68% acc · 45%

Body

67% acc · 22%

75% acc · 10%

Leg

71% acc · 11%

By position

24% acc · 52%

Distance

39% acc · 43%

54% acc · 24%

Clinch

85% acc · 37%

100% acc · 24%

Ground

69% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nick Ring rounds

even

Tim Boetsch rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control1:07

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Tim Boetsch edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control1:45

15Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:18Control

Round 3Tim Boetsch edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:16

21Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:46Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 82

Sig Strikes

46 / 84

35.3%

Sig Str %

54.3%

39 / 94

Total Strikes

80 / 120

0 / 2

TDs

4 / 6

TD %

66.7%

Sub Att

Rev

3:08

Ctrl Time

3:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Tim Boetsch	10 / 29	10 / 29	0 / 2	0
1	Nick Ring	9 / 31	12 / 34	0 / 0	0
2	Tim Boetsch	15 / 26	31 / 43	2 / 2	2
2	Nick Ring	13 / 33	17 / 38	0 / 2	0
3	Tim Boetsch	21 / 29	39 / 48	2 / 2	0
3	Nick Ring	7 / 18	10 / 22	0 / 0	0

Nick Ring

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights6

Tim Boetsch

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights20