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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Nick Ring won · U-DEC R3

Elo1353

Elo1490

Nick RingvsRiki FukudaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · Saturday, February 26, 2011Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Nick Ring won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nick Ring wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Nick Ring wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nick Ring at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Riki Fukuda has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Nick Ring

Red Corner

Riki Fukuda

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1353

Elo

1490

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nick RingL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs James Head · Jun 11

vs Tim Boetsch · Sep 11

vs Court McGee · Jul 12

vs Chris Camozzi · Mar 13

vs Caio Magalhaes · Dec 13

latest

Riki Fukuda

oldest →

vs Steve Cantwell · Feb 12

DECvs Costas Philippou · Jul 12

vs Tom DeBlass · Nov 12

vs Brad Tavares · Mar 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nick RingMetricRiki Fukuda

3.52

Strikes / min

4.24

3.48

Strikes absorbed / min

3.71

62%

Strike defense

64%

1.36

TDs / 15 min

2.17

52%

Takedown defense

70%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.04evenly matched on net striking+0.53

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nick Ring(6 fights)Riki Fukuda(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -137.5|Blue +137.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nick RingTargetRiki Fukuda

By target zone

16% acc · 32%

Head

29% acc · 71%

86% acc · 15%

Body

57% acc · 14%

61% acc · 54%

Leg

57% acc · 14%

By position

30% acc · 88%

Distance

28% acc · 68%

83% acc · 12%

Clinch

67% acc · 29%

Ground

50% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nick Ring rounds

even

Riki Fukuda rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:29Control

Round 2Nick Ring edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:04

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:21Control

Round 3Riki Fukuda edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:04Control

Fight Stats

Totals

41 / 125

Sig Strikes

28 / 82

29.3%

Sig Str %

35%

46 / 130

Total Strikes

65 / 121

0 / 1

TDs

6 / 9

TD %

66.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

4:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Riki Fukuda	9 / 22	13 / 26	2 / 3
1	Nick Ring	19 / 44	19 / 44	0 / 0
2	Riki Fukuda	12 / 40	19 / 47	1 / 3
2	Nick Ring	19 / 60	23 / 64	0 / 0
3	Riki Fukuda	7 / 20	33 / 48	3 / 3
3	Nick Ring	3 / 21	4 / 22	0 / 1

Nick Ring

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights6

Riki Fukuda

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5