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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Chris Camozzi won · S-DEC R3

Elo1353

Elo1360

Nick RingvsChris CamozziUFC Prediction Result

UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · Saturday, March 16, 2013Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Chris Camozzi won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nick Ring wins(71.8%)

Actual result: Chris Camozzi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nick Ring at -145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Camozzi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Nick Ring (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Nick Ring

Red Corner

Chris Camozzi

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1353

Elo

1360

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'2"

187.96 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nick Ring

oldest →

vs Riki Fukuda · Feb 11

SUBvs James Head · Jun 11

vs Tim Boetsch · Sep 11

vs Court McGee · Jul 12

vs Caio Magalhaes · Dec 13

latest

Chris CamozziL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joe Riggs · Feb 16

vs Vitor Miranda · May 16

SUBvs Thales Leites · Aug 16

vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 16

vs Trevor Smith · May 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nick RingMetricChris Camozzi

3.52

Strikes / min

3.57

3.48

Strikes absorbed / min

2.96

62%

Strike defense

56%

1.36

TDs / 15 min

0.27

52%

Takedown defense

57%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.04evenly matched on net striking+0.61

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nick RingChris Camozzi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nick Ring(6 fights)Chris Camozzi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -7.8|Blue +7.8

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +84.0|Blue -84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nick RingTargetChris Camozzi

By target zone

22% acc · 38%

Head

21% acc · 75%

40% acc · 12%

Body

63% acc · 8%

83% acc · 50%

Leg

79% acc · 17%

By position

38% acc · 98%

Distance

25% acc · 94%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

50% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nick Ring rounds

even

Chris Camozzi rounds

Round 1Nick Ring edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Nick Ring edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

86 / 225

Sig Strikes

64 / 247

38%

Sig Str %

25%

86 / 225

Total Strikes

67 / 250

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chris Camozzi	15 / 73	15 / 73	0 / 0
1	Nick Ring	27 / 72	27 / 72	0 / 0
2	Chris Camozzi	19 / 75	19 / 75	0 / 0
2	Nick Ring	29 / 78	29 / 78	0 / 0
3	Chris Camozzi	30 / 99	33 / 102	0 / 0
3	Nick Ring	30 / 75	30 / 75	0 / 1

Nick Ring

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights6

Chris Camozzi

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights19