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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Caio Magalhaes won · U-DEC R3

Elo1353

Elo1358

Nick RingvsCaio MagalhaesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · Friday, December 6, 2013Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

Official fight result

Caio Magalhaes won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nick Ring wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Caio Magalhaes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nick Ring at -190 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Nick Ring (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Nick Ring

Red Corner

Caio Magalhaes

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1353

Elo

1358

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nick Ring

oldest →

vs Riki Fukuda · Feb 11

SUBvs James Head · Jun 11

vs Tim Boetsch · Sep 11

vs Court McGee · Jul 12

vs Chris Camozzi · Mar 13

latest

Caio MagalhaesL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Karlos Vemola · Jun 13

KOvs Luke Zachrich · Apr 14

KOvs Trevor Smith · Nov 14

SUBvs Josh Samman · Jul 15

vs Brad Tavares · Sep 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nick RingMetricCaio Magalhaes

3.52

Strikes / min

2.27

3.48

Strikes absorbed / min

2.78

62%

Strike defense

56%

1.36

TDs / 15 min

1.05

52%

Takedown defense

58%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nick RingCaio Magalhaes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nick Ring(6 fights)Caio Magalhaes(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -5.2|Blue +5.2

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +84.0|Blue -84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nick RingTargetCaio Magalhaes

By target zone

24% acc · 33%

Head

35% acc · 41%

92% acc · 37%

Body

71% acc · 31%

82% acc · 30%

Leg

75% acc · 28%

By position

31% acc · 50%

Distance

44% acc · 72%

94% acc · 50%

Clinch

80% acc · 25%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nick Ring rounds

even

Caio Magalhaes rounds

Round 1Nick Ring edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns2

Control1:42

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Round 2Caio Magalhaes edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control1:07

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:49Control

Round 3Caio Magalhaes edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:35Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 64

Sig Strikes

32 / 63

40.7%

Sig Str %

49%

65 / 104

Total Strikes

103 / 143

3 / 6

TDs

0 / 2

55.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:49

Ctrl Time

5:43

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Caio Magalhaes	17 / 33	26 / 46	0 / 1	0
1	Nick Ring	21 / 41	30 / 51	2 / 3	0
2	Caio Magalhaes	4 / 9	22 / 32	0 / 1	0
2	Nick Ring	2 / 7	28 / 37	1 / 1	1
3	Caio Magalhaes	11 / 21	55 / 65	0 / 0	0
3	Nick Ring	7 / 16	7 / 16	0 / 2	0

Nick Ring

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights6

Caio Magalhaes

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7