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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Andre Petroski won · SUB R1

Elo1439

Elo1485

Nick MaximovvsAndre PetroskiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · Saturday, May 14, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Andre Petroski won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:16

Style matchupNick Maximov: WrestlervsAndre Petroski: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Andre Petroski wins(55.5%)

Actual result: Andre Petroski wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Petroski at +290 American odds

+$290 profit

$390 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Andre Petroski has 51pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Andre Petroski (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Nick Maximov

Red Corner

Andre Petroski

Blue Corner

-380

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+290

(26%)

1439

Elo

1485

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

6'0"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nick Maximov

oldest →

vs Cody Brundage · Sep 21

vs Punahele Soriano · Feb 22

vs Jacob Malkoun · Oct 22

latest

Andre PetroskiL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dylan Budka · Sep 24

vs Rodolfo Vieira · Feb 25

vs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 25

KOvs Cam Rowston · Sep 25

KOvs Cody Brundage · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nick MaximovMetricAndre Petroski

1.93

Strikes / min

2.81

2.64

Strikes absorbed / min

2.79

46%

Strike defense

53%

4.16

TDs / 15 min

3.15

35%

Takedown defense

86%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.71evenly matched on net striking+0.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nick MaximovAndre Petroski

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nick Maximov(4 fights)Andre Petroski(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -46.0|Blue +46.0

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -98.0|Blue +98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nick MaximovTargetAndre Petroski

By target zone

29% acc · 50%

Head

0% acc

67% acc · 50%

Body

0% acc

Leg

50% acc · 100%

By position

36% acc · 100%

Distance

10% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nick Maximov rounds

even

Andre Petroski rounds

Round 1Nick Maximov edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 11

Sig Strikes

1 / 10

36%

Sig Str %

10%

4 / 11

Total Strikes

1 / 10

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:23

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Andre Petroski	1 / 10	1 / 10	0 / 0	1
1	Nick Maximov	4 / 11	4 / 11	0 / 1	0

Nick Maximov

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4

Andre Petroski

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights12