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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Nick Hein won · U-DEC R3

Elo1373

Elo1491

Nick HeinvsTae Hyun BangUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · Saturday, September 3, 2016Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

Official fight result

Nick Hein won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNick Hein: Well-roundedvsTae Hyun Bang: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Nick Hein wins(63.2%)

Actual result: Nick Hein wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nick Hein at -335 American odds

+$30 profit

$130 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nick Hein enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Nick Hein has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Tae Hyun Bang (54.1%).
Tae Hyun Bang has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nick Hein

Red Corner

Tae Hyun Bang

Blue Corner

-335

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+275

(27%)

1373

Elo

1491

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

5'6"

Height

5'9"

167.64 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nick HeinL3 streak

oldest →

vs Lukasz Sajewski · Jun 15

vs Yusuke Kasuya · Sep 15

SUBvs Davi Ramos · May 18

vs Damir Hadzovic · Jul 18

KOvs Frank Camacho · Jun 19

latest

Tae Hyun Bang

oldest →

vs Mairbek Taisumov · Jan 14

KOvs Kajan Johnson · Jun 14

SUBvs Jon Tuck · May 15

vs Leo Kuntz · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nick HeinMetricTae Hyun Bang

2.65

Strikes / min

2.72

3.61

Strikes absorbed / min

2.07

59%

Strike defense

66%

0.86

TDs / 15 min

0.49

83%

Takedown defense

57%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.96Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap+0.65

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nick HeinTae Hyun Bang

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nick Hein(8 fights)Tae Hyun Bang(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -117.3|Blue +117.3

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nick HeinTargetTae Hyun Bang

By target zone

22% acc · 60%

Head

32% acc · 85%

42% acc · 40%

Body

45% acc · 13%

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

25% acc · 90%

Distance

32% acc · 90%

50% acc · 10%

Clinch

80% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nick Hein rounds

even

Tae Hyun Bang rounds

Round 1Tae Hyun Bang edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:48Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control0:07

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:31Control

Round 3Tae Hyun Bang edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 76

Sig Strikes

40 / 117

26%

Sig Str %

31.3%

48 / 106

Total Strikes

44 / 121

2 / 5

TDs

0 / 2

44.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:07

Ctrl Time

2:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Tae Hyun Bang	7 / 24	7 / 24	0 / 0
1	Nick Hein	3 / 12	13 / 24	1 / 1
2	Tae Hyun Bang	8 / 32	12 / 36	0 / 1
2	Nick Hein	8 / 26	26 / 44	1 / 3
3	Tae Hyun Bang	25 / 61	25 / 61	0 / 1
3	Nick Hein	9 / 38	9 / 38	0 / 1

Nick Hein

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights8

Tae Hyun Bang

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights5