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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Frank Camacho won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1373
Nick Hein
Elo1425

Nick HeinvsFrank CamachoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · Saturday, June 1, 2019Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Frank Camacho won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:56

Style matchupNick Hein: Well-roundedvsFrank Camacho: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Frank Camacho wins(60.5%)

Actual result: Frank Camacho wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Frank Camacho at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Frank Camacho enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Nick Hein (53.5%).
  • Frank Camacho has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nick Hein
Red Corner
VS
Frank Camacho
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
1373
Elo
1425
42
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'10"
167.64 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nick HeinL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Lukasz Sajewski · Jun 15
W
vs Yusuke Kasuya · Sep 15
W
vs Tae Hyun Bang · Sep 16
L
SUBvs Davi Ramos · May 18
L
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jul 18
latest
Frank CamachoL5 streak
oldest →
L
vs Drew Dober · Jan 18
L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Sep 18
L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Oct 19
L
KOvs Justin Jaynes · Jun 20
L
KOvs Manuel Torres · May 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nick HeinMetricFrank Camacho
2.65
Strikes / min
6.56
3.61
Strikes absorbed / min
7.44
59%
Strike defense
51%
0.86
TDs / 15 min
1.11
83%
Takedown defense
73%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.96evenly matched on net striking-0.88

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1511 vs 1482Strikes34.1 vs 95.0Takedowns0.7 vs 1.3Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.7 vs -0.5
Nick HeinFrank Camacho

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Nick Hein(8 fights)Frank Camacho(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -51.4|Blue +51.4
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -3.6|Blue +3.6
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +48.0|Blue -48.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nick HeinTargetFrank Camacho

By target zone

20
38% acc · 54%
Head
68
45% acc · 68%
8
44% acc · 22%
Body
30
64% acc · 30%
9
100% acc · 24%
Leg
2
67% acc · 2%

By position

36
46% acc · 97%
Distance
93
49% acc · 93%
1
100% acc · 3%
Clinch
7
70% acc · 7%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Nick Hein rounds
1
even
1
Frank Camacho rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control0:21
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Frank Camacho edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
74Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
37 / 79
Sig Strikes
100 / 201
46%
Sig Str %
46.5%
45 / 87
Total Strikes
105 / 208
1 / 3
TDs
0 / 0
25%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:21
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Frank Camacho26 / 6827 / 690 / 00
1Nick Hein23 / 4528 / 501 / 20
2Frank Camacho74 / 13378 / 1390 / 00
2Nick Hein14 / 3417 / 370 / 10

Nick Hein

StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights8

Frank Camacho

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7