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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Damir Hadzovic won · S-DEC R3

Elo1373

Elo1492

Nick HeinvsDamir HadzovicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · Sunday, July 22, 2018Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

Official fight result

Damir Hadzovic won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nick Hein wins(54.5%)

Actual result: Damir Hadzovic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nick Hein at -150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nick Hein has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Nick Hein (53.5%).
Damir Hadzovic has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nick Hein

Red Corner

Damir Hadzovic

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1373

Elo

1492

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'9"

167.64 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nick HeinL2 streak

oldest →

vs Lukasz Sajewski · Jun 15

vs Yusuke Kasuya · Sep 15

vs Tae Hyun Bang · Sep 16

SUBvs Davi Ramos · May 18

KOvs Frank Camacho · Jun 19

latest

Damir HadzovicL2 streak

oldest →

vs Christos Giagos · Jun 19

SUBvs Renato Moicano · Mar 20

vs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 21

vs Marc Diakiese · Jul 22

KOvs Terrance McKinney · Feb 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nick HeinMetricDamir Hadzovic

2.65

Strikes / min

3.34

3.61

Strikes absorbed / min

3.74

59%

Strike defense

59%

0.86

TDs / 15 min

0.91

83%

Takedown defense

34%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.96evenly matched on net striking-0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nick HeinDamir Hadzovic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nick Hein(8 fights)Damir Hadzovic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -119.0|Blue +119.0

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -98.0|Blue +98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nick HeinTargetDamir Hadzovic

By target zone

18% acc · 74%

Head

38% acc · 68%

67% acc · 19%

Body

71% acc · 17%

75% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 15%

By position

22% acc · 100%

Distance

45% acc · 96%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

100% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nick Hein rounds

even

Damir Hadzovic rounds

Round 1Damir Hadzovic edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Damir Hadzovic edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Damir Hadzovic edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 198

Sig Strikes

71 / 155

20%

Sig Str %

43.7%

43 / 198

Total Strikes

71 / 155

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Damir Hadzovic	12 / 37	12 / 37	0 / 0
1	Nick Hein	6 / 46	6 / 46	0 / 0
2	Damir Hadzovic	30 / 56	30 / 56	0 / 0
2	Nick Hein	25 / 95	25 / 95	0 / 0
3	Damir Hadzovic	29 / 62	29 / 62	0 / 0
3	Nick Hein	12 / 57	12 / 57	0 / 0

Nick Hein

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights8

Damir Hadzovic

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights10