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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Neil Seery won · U-DEC R3

Elo1361

Elo1353

Neil SeeryvsPhil HarrisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · Saturday, July 19, 2014Dublin, Leinster, Ireland

Official fight result

Neil Seery won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Neil Seery wins(62.1%)

Actual result: Neil Seery wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Neil Seery at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Phil Harris has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Neil Seery

Red Corner

Phil Harris

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1361

Elo

1353

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'4"

162.56 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Neil SeeryL2 streak

oldest →

vs Chris Beal · Jan 15

vs Louis Smolka · Jul 15

SUBvs Jon Delos Reyes · Oct 15

vs Kyoji Horiguchi · May 16

SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Jul 17

latest

Phil Harris

oldest →

SUBvs Darren Uyenoyama · Oct 12

vs Ulysses Gomez · Feb 13

KOvs John Lineker · Oct 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Neil SeeryMetricPhil Harris

3.56

Strikes / min

2.34

3.79

Strikes absorbed / min

3.16

58%

Strike defense

68%

0.78

TDs / 15 min

1.76

53%

Takedown defense

60%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.23evenly matched on net striking-0.82

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Neil SeeryPhil Harris

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Neil Seery(7 fights)Phil Harris(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.7|Blue -7.7

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -133.0|Blue +133.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Neil SeeryTargetPhil Harris

By target zone

35% acc · 70%

Head

29% acc · 88%

56% acc · 8%

Body

67% acc · 5%

65% acc · 22%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

37% acc · 70%

Distance

31% acc · 93%

33% acc · 5%

Clinch

40% acc · 5%

60% acc · 25%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Neil Seery rounds

even

Phil Harris rounds

Round 1Neil Seery edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:36

Knockdowns1

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:42Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Neil Seery edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns2

Control1:14

13Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:35Control

Round 3Neil Seery edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:33

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

60 / 148

Sig Strikes

40 / 126

41.7%

Sig Str %

32.7%

63 / 151

Total Strikes

52 / 139

2 / 2

TDs

2 / 17

100%

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

2:23

Ctrl Time

1:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Phil Harris	15 / 36	17 / 39	0 / 6
1	Neil Seery	19 / 39	19 / 39	0 / 0
2	Phil Harris	13 / 37	23 / 47	2 / 6
2	Neil Seery	22 / 45	23 / 46	2 / 2
3	Phil Harris	12 / 53	12 / 53	0 / 5
3	Neil Seery	19 / 64	21 / 66	0 / 0

Neil Seery

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights7

Phil Harris

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4