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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Neil Seery won · SUB R2
Elo1361
Neil Seery
Elo1490
Jon Delos Reyes

Neil SeeryvsJon Delos ReyesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · Saturday, October 24, 2015Dublin, Leinster, Ireland

Official fight result

Neil Seery won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:12

Model Prediction: Neil Seery wins(70.8%)

Actual result: Neil Seery wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Neil Seery at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Neil Seery enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Neil Seery
Red Corner
VS
Jon Delos Reyes
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
1361
Elo
1490
46
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'6"
162.56 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Neil SeeryL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Phil Harris · Jul 14
W
vs Chris Beal · Jan 15
L
vs Louis Smolka · Jul 15
L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · May 16
L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Jul 17
latest
Jon Delos Reyes
oldest →
L
SUBvs Dustin Kimura · Jan 14
L
KOvs Kyoji Horiguchi · Sep 14
W
SUBvs Roldan Sangcha-an · May 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Neil SeeryMetricJon Delos Reyes
3.56
Strikes / min
2.99
3.79
Strikes absorbed / min
4.14
58%
Strike defense
51%
0.78
TDs / 15 min
3.20
53%
Takedown defense
55%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23evenly matched on net striking-1.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1502 vs 1487Strikes46.0 vs 15.0Takedowns0.8 vs 0.7Sub Atts1.75 vs 1.00Form-0.1 vs 0.1
Neil SeeryJon Delos Reyes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Neil Seery(7 fights)Jon Delos Reyes(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -129.4|Blue +129.4
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Neil SeeryTargetJon Delos Reyes

By target zone

32
36% acc · 84%
Head
16
25% acc · 64%
1
50% acc · 3%
Body
7
88% acc · 28%
5
100% acc · 13%
Leg
2
100% acc · 8%

By position

32
38% acc · 84%
Distance
16
25% acc · 64%
5
63% acc · 13%
Clinch
8
89% acc · 32%
1
33% acc · 3%
Ground
1
50% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Neil Seery rounds
0
even
1
Jon Delos Reyes rounds
Round 1Neil Seery edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control1:07
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:59Control
Round 2Jon Delos Reyes edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:16
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:34Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
38 / 95
Sig Strikes
25 / 74
39%
Sig Str %
38%
47 / 105
Total Strikes
26 / 75
2 / 5
TDs
3 / 4
41.5%
TD %
75%
2
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
2:23
Ctrl Time
2:33

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jon Delos Reyes12 / 4912 / 491 / 20
1Neil Seery28 / 6830 / 701 / 20
2Jon Delos Reyes13 / 2514 / 262 / 20
2Neil Seery10 / 2717 / 351 / 32

Neil Seery

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights7

Jon Delos Reyes

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4