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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Neil Magny won · Decision R3

Elo1505

Elo1495

Neil MagnyvsLi JingliangUFC Prediction Result

UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · Saturday, March 7, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Neil Magny won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNeil Magny: WrestlervsLi Jingliang: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Neil Magny wins(62.7%)

Actual result: Neil Magny wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Neil Magny at +157 American odds

+$157 profit

$257 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Neil Magny has a 23cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Neil Magny

Red Corner

Li Jingliang

Blue Corner

+157

(39%)

Vegas Odds

-167

(63%)

1505

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'0"

203.2 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Neil Magny

oldest →

KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24

KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24

KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25

SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25

latest

Li JingliangL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 21

SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 21

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 22

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Sep 22

KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Neil MagnyMetricLi Jingliang

3.40

Strikes / min

4.46

2.44

Strikes absorbed / min

3.95

51%

Strike defense

56%

2.17

TDs / 15 min

1.19

55%

Takedown defense

60%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.96evenly matched on net striking+0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Neil MagnyLi Jingliang

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Neil Magny(10 fights)Li Jingliang(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.5|Blue -10.5

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +287.0|Blue -287.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Neil MagnyTargetLi Jingliang

By target zone

47% acc · 76%

Head

22% acc · 69%

80% acc · 16%

Body

33% acc · 6%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

44% acc · 25%

By position

35% acc · 46%

Distance

25% acc · 81%

90% acc · 24%

Clinch

33% acc · 19%

96% acc · 30%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Neil Magny rounds

even

Li Jingliang rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control1:00

8Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:18Control

Round 2Neil Magny edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns2

Control2:17

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:07Control

Round 3Neil Magny edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns1

Control1:47

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

74 / 139

Sig Strikes

16 / 62

51%

Sig Str %

26.3%

123 / 188

Total Strikes

16 / 65

4 / 7

TDs

2 / 3

55.3%

TD %

66%

Sub Att

Rev

5:04

Ctrl Time

3:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Li Jingliang	8 / 23	8 / 24	2 / 3
1	Neil Magny	12 / 32	21 / 41	1 / 2
2	Li Jingliang	1 / 4	1 / 6	0 / 0
2	Neil Magny	26 / 42	58 / 74	2 / 3
3	Li Jingliang	7 / 35	7 / 35	0 / 0
3	Neil Magny	36 / 65	44 / 73	1 / 2

Neil Magny

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights37

Li Jingliang

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights17