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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Neil Magny won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1505

Elo1488

Neil MagnyvsElizeu Zaleski dos SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · Saturday, August 2, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Neil Magny won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:39

Style matchupNeil Magny: WrestlervsElizeu Zaleski dos Santos: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Neil Magny wins(67.6%)

Actual result: Neil Magny wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Neil Magny at +134 American odds

+$134 profit

$234 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Neil Magny has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Neil Magny

Red Corner

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Blue Corner

+134

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-158

(61%)

1505

Elo

1488

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'11"

203.2 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Neil Magny

oldest →

KOvs Mike Malott · Jan 24

KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24

KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25

SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25

latest

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

oldest →

vs Benoit Saint Denis · Oct 21

vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Jun 23

vs Randy Brown · Jun 24

KOvs Zachary Scroggin · Nov 24

KOvs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Neil MagnyMetricElizeu Zaleski dos Santos

3.40

Strikes / min

4.16

2.44

Strikes absorbed / min

3.56

51%

Strike defense

55%

2.17

TDs / 15 min

0.79

55%

Takedown defense

67%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.96evenly matched on net striking+0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Neil MagnyElizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Neil Magny(10 fights)Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.9|Blue -16.9

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +126.0|Blue -126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Neil MagnyTargetElizeu Zaleski dos Santos

By target zone

62% acc · 90%

Head

21% acc · 25%

100% acc · 10%

Body

80% acc · 20%

0% acc

Leg

85% acc · 55%

By position

44% acc · 45%

Distance

45% acc · 85%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

75% acc · 15%

95% acc · 48%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Neil Magny rounds

even

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos rounds

Round 1Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:16

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:03Control

Round 2Neil Magny edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns2

Control1:03

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:37Control

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 67

Sig Strikes

20 / 42

63.5%

Sig Str %

41.5%

80 / 113

Total Strikes

42 / 69

2 / 3

TDs

1 / 5

50%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:19

Ctrl Time

4:40

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	18 / 36	24 / 42	0 / 4
1	Neil Magny	17 / 36	29 / 50	0 / 1
2	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	2 / 6	18 / 27	1 / 1
2	Neil Magny	25 / 31	51 / 63	2 / 2

Neil Magny

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights37

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights15