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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Neil Magny won · U-DEC R3

Elo1505

Elo1492

Neil MagnyvsAnthony Rocco MartinUFC Prediction Result

UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · Saturday, June 6, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Neil Magny won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNeil Magny: WrestlervsAnthony Rocco Martin: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Neil Magny wins(55.2%)

Actual result: Neil Magny wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Neil Magny at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Anthony Rocco Martin enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Neil Magny has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Neil Magny

Red Corner

Anthony Rocco Martin

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1505

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'0"

203.2 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Neil Magny

oldest →

KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24

KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24

KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25

SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25

latest

Anthony Rocco MartinW4 streak

oldest →

vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Sep 17

vs Keita Nakamura · Apr 18

KOvs Ryan LaFlare · Oct 18

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Dec 18

vs Sergio Moraes · Mar 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Neil MagnyMetricAnthony Rocco Martin

3.40

Strikes / min

2.68

2.44

Strikes absorbed / min

2.59

51%

Strike defense

58%

2.17

TDs / 15 min

0.71

55%

Takedown defense

68%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.96evenly matched on net striking+0.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Neil MagnyAnthony Rocco Martin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Neil Magny(10 fights)Anthony Rocco Martin(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.9|Blue -12.9

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -364.0|Blue +364.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Neil MagnyTargetAnthony Rocco Martin

By target zone

43% acc · 47%

Head

37% acc · 70%

85% acc · 27%

Body

100% acc · 11%

85% acc · 27%

Leg

88% acc · 19%

By position

52% acc · 75%

Distance

44% acc · 92%

94% acc · 25%

Clinch

60% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Neil Magny rounds

even

Anthony Rocco Martin rounds

Round 1Anthony Rocco Martin edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:08

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:45Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:40

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:35Control

Round 3Neil Magny edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control1:31

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:37Control

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 110

Sig Strikes

37 / 82

58.7%

Sig Str %

45.3%

82 / 130

Total Strikes

46 / 91

0 / 6

TDs

1 / 2

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

2:19

Ctrl Time

4:57

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Anthony Rocco Martin	11 / 21	14 / 24	0 / 0
1	Neil Magny	12 / 22	20 / 30	0 / 1
2	Anthony Rocco Martin	11 / 27	14 / 30	1 / 1
2	Neil Magny	14 / 21	22 / 30	0 / 2
3	Anthony Rocco Martin	15 / 34	18 / 37	0 / 1
3	Neil Magny	38 / 67	40 / 70	0 / 3

Neil Magny

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights37

Anthony Rocco Martin

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13