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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nazim Sadykhov won · SUB R2
Elo1501
Elo1504
Terrance McKinney editorial illustration

Nazim SadykhovvsTerrance McKinneyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Saturday, July 15, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nazim Sadykhov won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:07

Style matchupNazim Sadykhov: Pressure fightervsTerrance McKinney: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Terrance McKinney wins(58.5%)

Actual result: Nazim Sadykhov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Terrance McKinney at +136 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Nazim Sadykhov is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Terrance McKinney has lost 67% of fights by KO.
  • Terrance McKinney is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Nazim Sadykhov has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Terrance McKinney (54.1%).
  • Terrance McKinney has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nazim Sadykhov
Red Corner
VS
Terrance McKinney
Blue Corner
-162
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+136
(42%)
1501
Elo
1504
32
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nazim SadykhovL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Evan Elder · Feb 23
W
KOvs Ismael Bonfim · Feb 25
W
KOvs Nikolas Motta · Jun 25
L
KOvs Fares Ziam · Dec 25
L
KOvs Matheus Camilo · Jun 26
latest
Terrance McKinney
oldest →
W
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 25
W
SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · Jun 25
L
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Dec 25
W
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 26
L
KOvs King Green · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nazim SadykhovMetricTerrance McKinney
4.79
Strikes / min
6.53
5.49
Strikes absorbed / min
3.45
49%
Strike defense
43%
1.10
TDs / 15 min
3.31
72%
Takedown defense
72%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
2.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.70Δ 3.78 — meaningful gap+3.08

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1516Strikes4.9 vs 4.5Takedowns1.7 vs 3.5Sub Atts0.30 vs 1.00Form1.0 vs -0.1
Nazim SadykhovTerrance McKinney

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Nazim Sadykhov(6 fights)Terrance McKinney(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -2.3|Blue +2.3
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nazim SadykhovTargetTerrance McKinney

By target zone

6
55% acc · 75%
Head
3
30% acc · 50%
0
0% acc
Body
3
100% acc · 50%
2
67% acc · 25%
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

6
46% acc · 75%
Distance
4
33% acc · 67%
0
Clinch
2
100% acc · 33%
2
100% acc · 25%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Nazim Sadykhov rounds
0
even
1
Terrance McKinney rounds
Round 1Terrance McKinney edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:20
5Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:12Control
Round 2Nazim Sadykhov edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:35
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
8 / 15
Sig Strikes
6 / 14
52%
Sig Str %
39%
20 / 27
Total Strikes
21 / 34
0 / 0
TDs
2 / 5
—
TD %
33%
1
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
0:55
Ctrl Time
4:16

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Terrance McKinney5 / 820 / 282 / 30
1Nazim Sadykhov5 / 816 / 190 / 00
2Terrance McKinney1 / 61 / 60 / 20
2Nazim Sadykhov3 / 74 / 80 / 01

Nazim Sadykhov

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6

Terrance McKinney

StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights14