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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Nazim Sadykhov won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1501

Elo1502

Nazim SadykhovvsNikolas MottaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · Saturday, June 21, 2025Baku, Azerbaijan

Official fight result

Nazim Sadykhov won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:17

Style matchupNazim Sadykhov: Pressure fightervsNikolas Motta: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Nazim Sadykhov wins(72.5%)

Actual result: Nazim Sadykhov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nazim Sadykhov at -420 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nazim Sadykhov is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Nikolas Motta has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Nikolas Motta is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Nazim Sadykhov has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Nazim Sadykhov (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Nazim Sadykhov

Red Corner

Nikolas Motta

Blue Corner

-420

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+330

(23%)

1501

Elo

1502

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

175.26 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nazim SadykhovL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Evan Elder · Feb 23

SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Jul 23

KOvs Ismael Bonfim · Feb 25

KOvs Fares Ziam · Dec 25

KOvs Matheus Camilo · Jun 26

latest

Nikolas MottaW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jim Miller · Feb 22

KOvs Cameron VanCamp · Sep 22

KOvs Manuel Torres · Jun 23

KOvs Tom Nolan · Jan 24

vs Maheshate · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nazim SadykhovMetricNikolas Motta

4.79

Strikes / min

4.13

5.49

Strikes absorbed / min

5.28

49%

Strike defense

52%

1.10

TDs / 15 min

0.00

72%

Takedown defense

83%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70evenly matched on net striking-1.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nazim SadykhovNikolas Motta

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nazim Sadykhov(6 fights)Nikolas Motta(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -84.0|Blue +84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nazim SadykhovTargetNikolas Motta

By target zone

53% acc · 65%

Head

34% acc · 70%

93% acc · 27%

Body

100% acc · 24%

89% acc · 9%

Leg

80% acc · 6%

By position

53% acc · 62%

Distance

40% acc · 82%

87% acc · 35%

Clinch

55% acc · 18%

67% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nazim Sadykhov rounds

even

Nikolas Motta rounds

Round 1Nikolas Motta edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns0

Control1:05

Knockdowns0

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Nazim Sadykhov edged it

Sig. strikes54

Takedowns0

Control0:24

Knockdowns1

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

93 / 150

Sig Strikes

66 / 157

61.5%

Sig Str %

41.5%

102 / 161

Total Strikes

76 / 168

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:29

Ctrl Time

0:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Nikolas Motta	36 / 82	44 / 91	0 / 0
1	Nazim Sadykhov	39 / 63	45 / 70	0 / 1
2	Nikolas Motta	30 / 75	32 / 77	0 / 0
2	Nazim Sadykhov	54 / 87	57 / 91	0 / 0

Nazim Sadykhov

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6

Nikolas Motta

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6