Lightweight

3 Rounds

Fares Ziam won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1501

Elo1528

Nazim SadykhovvsFares ZiamUFC Prediction Result

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · Saturday, December 6, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Fares Ziam won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:59

Style matchupNazim Sadykhov: Pressure fightervsFares Ziam: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Fares Ziam wins(63.6%)

Actual result: Fares Ziam wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Fares Ziam at -188 American odds

+$53 profit

$153 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Fares Ziam has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Nazim Sadykhov (53.5%).
Fares Ziam has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nazim Sadykhov

Red Corner

Fares Ziam

Blue Corner

+158

(39%)

Vegas Odds

-188

(65%)

1501

Elo

1528

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'1"

175.26 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nazim Sadykhov

oldest →

KOvs Evan Elder · Feb 23

SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Jul 23

KOvs Ismael Bonfim · Feb 25

KOvs Nikolas Motta · Jun 25

KOvs Matheus Camilo · Jun 26

latest

Fares Ziam

oldest →

vs Jai Herbert · Jul 23

vs Claudio Puelles · Feb 24

KOvs Matt Frevola · Sep 24

vs Mike Davis · Feb 25

DECvs Tom Nolan · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nazim SadykhovMetricFares Ziam

4.79

Strikes / min

2.87

5.49

Strikes absorbed / min

1.53

49%

Strike defense

65%

1.10

TDs / 15 min

1.73

72%

Takedown defense

71%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70Δ 2.04 — meaningful gap+1.34

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nazim SadykhovFares Ziam

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nazim Sadykhov(6 fights)Fares Ziam(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -26.2|Blue +26.2

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -140.0|Blue +140.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nazim SadykhovTargetFares Ziam

By target zone

9% acc · 25%

Head

58% acc · 68%

Body

67% acc · 6%

60% acc · 75%

Leg

80% acc · 26%

By position

25% acc · 100%

Distance

58% acc · 58%

Clinch

80% acc · 13%

Ground

69% acc · 29%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nazim Sadykhov rounds

even

Fares Ziam rounds

Round 1Fares Ziam edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:22

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:22Control

Round 2Fares Ziam edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:17

Knockdowns0

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:36Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 16

Sig Strikes

31 / 49

13%

Sig Str %

69%

7 / 21

Total Strikes

76 / 96

0 / 2

TDs

2 / 5

TD %

41.5%

Sub Att

Rev

0:39

Ctrl Time

5:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Fares Ziam	8 / 10	49 / 53	1 / 2	1
1	Nazim Sadykhov	0 / 1	3 / 6	0 / 1	0
2	Fares Ziam	23 / 39	27 / 43	1 / 3	1
2	Nazim Sadykhov	4 / 15	4 / 15	0 / 1	0

Nazim Sadykhov

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6

Fares Ziam

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11