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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Nazim Sadykhov won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1501

Elo1518

Nazim SadykhovvsEvan ElderUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Saturday, February 18, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nazim Sadykhov won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 0:38

Style matchupNazim Sadykhov: Pressure fightervsEvan Elder: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Nazim Sadykhov wins(51.0%)

Actual result: Nazim Sadykhov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nazim Sadykhov at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Evan Elder enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Nazim Sadykhov is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Evan Elder has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Nazim Sadykhov has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Evan Elder (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Nazim Sadykhov

Red Corner

Evan Elder

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1501

Elo

1518

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

5'10"

Height

5'10"

175.26 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nazim SadykhovL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Jul 23

KOvs Ismael Bonfim · Feb 25

KOvs Nikolas Motta · Jun 25

KOvs Fares Ziam · Dec 25

KOvs Matheus Camilo · Jun 26

latest

Evan ElderW3 streak

oldest →

vs Preston Parsons · Apr 22

vs Genaro Valdez · Jul 23

SUBvs Darrius Flowers · Jul 24

vs Gauge Young · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nazim SadykhovMetricEvan Elder

4.79

Strikes / min

5.66

5.49

Strikes absorbed / min

4.94

49%

Strike defense

57%

1.10

TDs / 15 min

0.48

72%

Takedown defense

40%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap+0.72

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nazim SadykhovEvan Elder

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nazim Sadykhov(6 fights)Evan Elder(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -16.3|Blue +16.3

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nazim SadykhovTargetEvan Elder

By target zone

37% acc · 59%

Head

29% acc · 36%

95% acc · 30%

Body

78% acc · 51%

78% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 13%

By position

46% acc · 84%

Distance

47% acc · 86%

71% acc · 16%

Clinch

77% acc · 14%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nazim Sadykhov rounds

even

Evan Elder rounds

Round 1Evan Elder edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Evan Elder edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control0:19

32Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:33Control

Round 3Nazim Sadykhov edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 132

Sig Strikes

70 / 142

51.3%

Sig Str %

43.7%

71 / 141

Total Strikes

84 / 158

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 6

100%

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

0:19

Ctrl Time

1:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Evan Elder	35 / 78	36 / 79	0 / 2
1	Nazim Sadykhov	28 / 74	28 / 74	0 / 0
2	Evan Elder	32 / 53	45 / 68	1 / 3
2	Nazim Sadykhov	29 / 45	36 / 54	1 / 1
3	Evan Elder	3 / 11	3 / 11	0 / 1
3	Nazim Sadykhov	7 / 13	7 / 13	0 / 0

Nazim Sadykhov

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6

Evan Elder

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights5