Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Mairon Santos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Mairon Santos has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nathaniel WoodW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Muhammad Naimov · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jul 24W
vs Morgan Charriere · Mar 25W
vs Jose Delgado · Oct 25W
vs Losene Keita · Mar 26 latest Mairon SantosW4 streak
oldest →W
vs Francis Marshall · Mar 25W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · May 25W
KOvs Muhammad Naimov · Dec 25 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nathaniel WoodMetricMairon Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.39evenly matched on net striking+1.09
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nathaniel Wood(10 fights)Mairon Santos(4 fights)
Method Projection
Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.
Historical win share: Mairon Santos earned 50% of wins by KO/TKO.
Historical win share: Nathaniel Wood earned 27% of wins by submission.
Both fighters frequently end fights early.