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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Nathaniel Wood won · SUB R2

Elo1543

Elo1393

Nathaniel WoodvsJose QuinonezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · Saturday, March 16, 2019London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Nathaniel Wood won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:46

Style matchupNathaniel Wood: Pressure fightervsJose Quinonez: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Nathaniel Wood wins(56.7%)

Actual result: Nathaniel Wood wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nathaniel Wood at -335 American odds

+$30 profit

$130 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jose Quinonez has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Nathaniel Wood has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jose Quinonez (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Nathaniel Wood

Red Corner

Jose Quinonez

Blue Corner

-335

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+275

(27%)

1543

Elo

1393

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nathaniel WoodW4 streak

oldest →

vs Muhammad Naimov · Oct 23

vs Daniel Pineda · Jul 24

vs Morgan Charriere · Mar 25

vs Jose Delgado · Oct 25

vs Losene Keita · Mar 26

latest

Jose QuinonezL2 streak

oldest →

vs Diego Rivas · Aug 17

vs Teruto Ishihara · Feb 18

vs Carlos Huachin · Sep 19

KOvs Sean O'Malley · Mar 20

KOvs Louis Smolka · Dec 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nathaniel WoodMetricJose Quinonez

5.64

Strikes / min

3.60

4.25

Strikes absorbed / min

3.00

54%

Strike defense

64%

1.35

TDs / 15 min

2.70

73%

Takedown defense

42%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.39evenly matched on net striking+0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nathaniel WoodJose Quinonez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nathaniel Wood(10 fights)Jose Quinonez(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +150.0|Blue -150.0

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Layoff

Red -322.0|Blue +322.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nathaniel WoodTargetJose Quinonez

By target zone

26% acc · 47%

Head

25% acc · 21%

44% acc · 13%

Body

83% acc · 15%

63% acc · 40%

Leg

85% acc · 65%

By position

36% acc · 90%

Distance

56% acc · 97%

60% acc · 10%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nathaniel Wood rounds

even

Jose Quinonez rounds

Round 1Jose Quinonez edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control0:53

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:52Control

Round 2Nathaniel Wood edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control0:20

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:57Control

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 81

Sig Strikes

34 / 60

41%

Sig Str %

61%

39 / 91

Total Strikes

35 / 61

2 / 3

TDs

1 / 4

75%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

1:13

Ctrl Time

1:49

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jose Quinonez	25 / 47	25 / 47	1 / 2	0
1	Nathaniel Wood	19 / 59	23 / 63	1 / 2	1
2	Jose Quinonez	9 / 13	10 / 14	0 / 2	0
2	Nathaniel Wood	11 / 22	16 / 28	1 / 1	1

Nathaniel Wood

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights14

Jose Quinonez

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights9