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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Nathaniel Wood won · U-DEC R3

Elo1543

Elo1479

Nathaniel WoodvsAndre FiliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Saturday, July 22, 2023London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Nathaniel Wood won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNathaniel Wood: Pressure fightervsAndre Fili: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Nathaniel Wood wins(69.3%)

Actual result: Nathaniel Wood wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nathaniel Wood at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Andre Fili has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nathaniel Wood

Red Corner

Andre Fili

Blue Corner

-210

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1543

Elo

1479

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'11"

175.26 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nathaniel WoodW4 streak

oldest →

vs Muhammad Naimov · Oct 23

vs Daniel Pineda · Jul 24

vs Morgan Charriere · Mar 25

vs Jose Delgado · Oct 25

vs Losene Keita · Mar 26

latest

Andre FiliL2 streak

oldest →

vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24

SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25

vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25

vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26

KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nathaniel WoodMetricAndre Fili

5.64

Strikes / min

3.88

4.25

Strikes absorbed / min

4.34

54%

Strike defense

50%

1.35

TDs / 15 min

2.32

73%

Takedown defense

71%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.39Δ 1.85 — meaningful gap-0.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nathaniel WoodAndre Fili

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nathaniel Wood(10 fights)Andre Fili(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +63.3|Blue -63.3

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nathaniel WoodTargetAndre Fili

By target zone

42% acc · 45%

Head

34% acc · 78%

56% acc · 12%

Body

70% acc · 12%

90% acc · 43%

Leg

86% acc · 10%

By position

58% acc · 85%

Distance

37% acc · 91%

Clinch

60% acc · 5%

52% acc · 15%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nathaniel Wood rounds

even

Andre Fili rounds

Round 1Nathaniel Wood edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control1:23

Knockdowns1

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Andre Fili edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control0:24

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:55Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Nathaniel Wood edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

84 / 148

Sig Strikes

58 / 151

58.7%

Sig Str %

39.7%

108 / 174

Total Strikes

76 / 179

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 2

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:47

Ctrl Time

2:55

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Andre Fili	17 / 49	20 / 52	0 / 1
1	Nathaniel Wood	37 / 69	37 / 69	0 / 0
2	Andre Fili	17 / 34	32 / 59	0 / 0
2	Nathaniel Wood	10 / 15	34 / 41	1 / 1
3	Andre Fili	24 / 68	24 / 68	0 / 1
3	Nathaniel Wood	37 / 64	37 / 64	0 / 1

Nathaniel Wood

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights14

Andre Fili

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights26