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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Nathaniel Wood won · SUB R3

Elo1543

Elo1414

Nathaniel WoodvsAndre EwellUFC Prediction Result

UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · Saturday, December 29, 2018Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

Nathaniel Wood won

SUB · Round 3 · 4:12

Style matchupNathaniel Wood: Pressure fightervsAndre Ewell: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Andre Ewell wins(72.2%)

Actual result: Nathaniel Wood wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Ewell at +100 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Andre Ewell enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Andre Ewell (53.5%).
Andre Ewell has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nathaniel Wood

Red Corner

Andre Ewell

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1543

Elo

1414

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nathaniel WoodW4 streak

oldest →

vs Muhammad Naimov · Oct 23

vs Daniel Pineda · Jul 24

vs Morgan Charriere · Mar 25

vs Jose Delgado · Oct 25

vs Losene Keita · Mar 26

latest

Andre EwellL3 streak

oldest →

vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 20

vs Irwin Rivera · Sep 20

vs Chris Gutierrez · Feb 21

KOvs Julio Arce · Jul 21

vs Charles Jourdain · Dec 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nathaniel WoodMetricAndre Ewell

5.64

Strikes / min

4.28

4.25

Strikes absorbed / min

4.87

54%

Strike defense

51%

1.35

TDs / 15 min

0.36

73%

Takedown defense

72%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.39Δ 1.98 — meaningful gap-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nathaniel WoodAndre Ewell

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nathaniel Wood(10 fights)Andre Ewell(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +128.7|Blue -128.7

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +113.0|Blue -113.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nathaniel WoodTargetAndre Ewell

By target zone

45% acc · 52%

Head

23% acc · 67%

94% acc · 26%

Body

33% acc · 33%

50% acc · 21%

Leg

By position

39% acc · 46%

Distance

24% acc · 87%

80% acc · 7%

Clinch

50% acc · 13%

78% acc · 48%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nathaniel Wood rounds

even

Andre Ewell rounds

Round 1Nathaniel Wood edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:49

Knockdowns1

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Nathaniel Wood edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns1

Control4:35

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Nathaniel Wood edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control3:13

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

61 / 114

Sig Strikes

15 / 58

52.7%

Sig Str %

22.3%

171 / 234

Total Strikes

18 / 62

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

75%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

8:37

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Andre Ewell	12 / 43	14 / 45	0 / 0	0
1	Nathaniel Wood	20 / 52	27 / 59	0 / 0	0
2	Andre Ewell	2 / 10	3 / 12	0 / 0	0
2	Nathaniel Wood	33 / 45	88 / 107	1 / 1	0
3	Andre Ewell	1 / 5	1 / 5	0 / 0	0
3	Nathaniel Wood	8 / 17	56 / 68	1 / 2	1

Nathaniel Wood

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights14

Andre Ewell

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights9