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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Nate Landwehr won · SUB R3
Elo1469
Nate Landwehr
Elo1525
Ludovit Klein editorial illustration

Nate LandwehrvsLudovit KleinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · Saturday, October 16, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nate Landwehr won

SUB · Round 3 · 2:22

Style matchupNate Landwehr: Pressure fightervsLudovit Klein: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Ludovit Klein wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Nate Landwehr wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ludovit Klein at -365 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Nate Landwehr threatens submissions; Ludovit Klein has lost 33% of fights by sub.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Ludovit Klein (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Nate Landwehr
Red Corner
VS
Ludovit Klein
Blue Corner
+280
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-365
(78%)
1469
Elo
1525
38
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nate LandwehrL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Dan Ige · Jun 23
W
KOvs Jamall Emmers · Mar 24
L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Dec 24
L
KOvs Morgan Charriere · Jul 25
L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Apr 26
latest
Ludovit Klein
oldest →
W
KOvs AJ Cunningham · Mar 24
W
vs Thiago Moises · Jun 24
W
vs Roosevelt Roberts · Sep 24
L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · May 25
W
vs Mateusz Rebecki · Oct 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nate LandwehrMetricLudovit Klein
5.55
Strikes / min
3.76
5.96
Strikes absorbed / min
3.48
51%
Strike defense
53%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
1.37
71%
Takedown defense
76%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.41evenly matched on net striking+0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1487 vs 1501Strikes6.3 vs 3.9Takedowns1.0 vs 1.7Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.00Form-0.5 vs -0.3
Nate LandwehrLudovit Klein

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501473149515181540← oldermost recent →
Nate Landwehr(10 fights)Ludovit Klein(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nate LandwehrTargetLudovit Klein

By target zone

41
48% acc · 58%
Head
20
36% acc · 48%
18
60% acc · 25%
Body
18
72% acc · 43%
12
80% acc · 17%
Leg
4
80% acc · 10%

By position

45
48% acc · 63%
Distance
39
49% acc · 93%
26
70% acc · 37%
Clinch
3
60% acc · 7%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Nate Landwehr rounds
0
even
0
Ludovit Klein rounds
Round 1Nate Landwehr edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:42
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 2Nate Landwehr edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control2:32
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
Round 3Nate Landwehr edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control0:32
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
71 / 130
Sig Strikes
42 / 85
52.7%
Sig Str %
50%
103 / 163
Total Strikes
44 / 87
1 / 2
TDs
0 / 2
50%
TD %
0%
2
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
3:46
Ctrl Time
0:32

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ludovit Klein19 / 3719 / 370 / 00
1Nate Landwehr20 / 4124 / 450 / 00
2Ludovit Klein13 / 3115 / 330 / 10
2Nate Landwehr37 / 6161 / 860 / 11
3Ludovit Klein10 / 1710 / 170 / 10
3Nate Landwehr14 / 2818 / 321 / 11

Nate Landwehr

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10

Ludovit Klein

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11