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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Nassourdine Imavov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1541

Elo1516

Nassourdine ImavovvsJoaquin BuckleyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · Saturday, September 3, 2022Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Nassourdine Imavov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNassourdine Imavov: Well-roundedvsJoaquin Buckley: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Nassourdine Imavov wins(69.5%)

Actual result: Nassourdine Imavov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nassourdine Imavov at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Joaquin Buckley (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Nassourdine Imavov

Red Corner

Joaquin Buckley

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1541

Elo

1516

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nassourdine ImavovW5 streak

oldest →

vs Roman Dolidze · Feb 24

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jun 24

vs Brendan Allen · Sep 24

KOvs Israel Adesanya · Feb 25

vs Caio Borralho · Sep 25

latest

Joaquin BuckleyL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 24

KOvs Stephen Thompson · Oct 24

KOvs Colby Covington · Dec 24

vs Kamaru Usman · Jun 25

DECvs Sean Brady · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nassourdine ImavovMetricJoaquin Buckley

4.28

Strikes / min

3.62

3.17

Strikes absorbed / min

3.10

58%

Strike defense

58%

0.74

TDs / 15 min

1.43

81%

Takedown defense

70%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.11evenly matched on net striking+0.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nassourdine ImavovJoaquin Buckley

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nassourdine Imavov(10 fights)Joaquin Buckley(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.8|Blue -24.8

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +224.0|Blue -224.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nassourdine ImavovTargetJoaquin Buckley

By target zone

44% acc · 78%

Head

19% acc · 59%

69% acc · 18%

Body

62% acc · 17%

33% acc · 4%

Leg

69% acc · 24%

By position

41% acc · 71%

Distance

26% acc · 96%

80% acc · 16%

Clinch

67% acc · 4%

64% acc · 14%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nassourdine Imavov rounds

even

Joaquin Buckley rounds

Round 1Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:43

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

Round 2Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control2:10

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control1:03

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

51 / 109

Sig Strikes

46 / 174

46%

Sig Str %

24.7%

68 / 142

Total Strikes

55 / 183

2 / 7

TDs

0 / 3

40%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:56

Ctrl Time

0:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joaquin Buckley	10 / 48	13 / 51	0 / 2	0
1	Nassourdine Imavov	15 / 35	21 / 42	0 / 1	0
2	Joaquin Buckley	10 / 45	12 / 47	0 / 0	0
2	Nassourdine Imavov	14 / 30	25 / 56	1 / 1	2
3	Joaquin Buckley	26 / 81	30 / 85	0 / 1	0
3	Nassourdine Imavov	22 / 44	22 / 44	1 / 5	0

Nassourdine Imavov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11

Joaquin Buckley

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17