Middleweight

3 Rounds

Nassourdine Imavov won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1541

Elo1405

Nassourdine ImavovvsIan HeinischUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · Saturday, July 24, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nassourdine Imavov won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:09

Style matchupNassourdine Imavov: Well-roundedvsIan Heinisch: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Nassourdine Imavov wins(70.1%)

Actual result: Nassourdine Imavov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nassourdine Imavov at +135 American odds

+$135 profit

$235 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Nassourdine Imavov has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Nassourdine Imavov

Red Corner

Ian Heinisch

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1541

Elo

1405

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'11"

190.5 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nassourdine ImavovW5 streak

oldest →

vs Roman Dolidze · Feb 24

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jun 24

vs Brendan Allen · Sep 24

KOvs Israel Adesanya · Feb 25

vs Caio Borralho · Sep 25

latest

Ian Heinisch

oldest →

vs Antonio Carlos Junior · May 19

vs Derek Brunson · Aug 19

vs Omari Akhmedov · Dec 19

KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Jun 20

vs Kelvin Gastelum · Feb 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nassourdine ImavovMetricIan Heinisch

4.28

Strikes / min

3.25

3.17

Strikes absorbed / min

2.98

58%

Strike defense

59%

0.74

TDs / 15 min

1.02

81%

Takedown defense

59%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.11evenly matched on net striking+0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nassourdine ImavovIan Heinisch

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nassourdine Imavov(10 fights)Ian Heinisch(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +136.1|Blue -136.1

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nassourdine ImavovTargetIan Heinisch

By target zone

39% acc · 82%

Head

16% acc · 17%

50% acc · 18%

Body

50% acc · 8%

Leg

78% acc · 75%

By position

40% acc · 74%

Distance

44% acc · 92%

100% acc · 15%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

22% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nassourdine Imavov rounds

even

Ian Heinisch rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:39

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:03Control

Round 2Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns1

Control0:32

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 96

Sig Strikes

24 / 52

41%

Sig Str %

46.5%

46 / 103

Total Strikes

25 / 53

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 3

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:11

Ctrl Time

1:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ian Heinisch	14 / 25	15 / 26	0 / 2
1	Nassourdine Imavov	16 / 35	23 / 42	0 / 0
2	Ian Heinisch	10 / 27	10 / 27	0 / 1
2	Nassourdine Imavov	23 / 61	23 / 61	1 / 1

Nassourdine Imavov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11

Ian Heinisch

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights7