← All fights/Event page

Middleweight

5 Rounds

Nassourdine Imavov won · U-DEC R5

Elo1541

Elo1533

Nassourdine ImavovvsCaio BorralhoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Saturday, September 6, 2025Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Nassourdine Imavov won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupNassourdine Imavov: Well-roundedvsCaio Borralho: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Nassourdine Imavov wins(67.1%)

Actual result: Nassourdine Imavov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nassourdine Imavov at +112 American odds

+$112 profit

$212 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Caio Borralho enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Caio Borralho (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Nassourdine Imavov

Red Corner

Caio Borralho

Blue Corner

+112

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-132

(57%)

1541

Elo

1533

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nassourdine ImavovW4 streak

oldest →

vs Sean Strickland · Jan 23

vs Roman Dolidze · Feb 24

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jun 24

vs Brendan Allen · Sep 24

KOvs Israel Adesanya · Feb 25

latest

Caio BorralhoW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 23

vs Abus Magomedov · Nov 23

KOvs Paul Craig · May 24

vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 24

vs Reinier de Ridder · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nassourdine ImavovMetricCaio Borralho

4.28

Strikes / min

3.47

3.17

Strikes absorbed / min

2.61

58%

Strike defense

60%

0.74

TDs / 15 min

1.25

81%

Takedown defense

76%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.11evenly matched on net striking+0.86

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nassourdine ImavovCaio Borralho

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nassourdine Imavov(10 fights)Caio Borralho(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.2|Blue -8.2

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -161.0|Blue +161.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nassourdine ImavovTargetCaio Borralho

By target zone

45% acc · 65%

Head

36% acc · 59%

54% acc · 17%

Body

37% acc · 21%

78% acc · 17%

Leg

68% acc · 20%

By position

49% acc · 98%

Distance

37% acc · 89%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nassourdine Imavov rounds

even

Caio Borralho rounds

Round 1Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:51Control

Round 2Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Caio Borralho edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:02

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

Round 4Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:27

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 5Caio Borralho edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

81 / 162

Sig Strikes

66 / 166

49.6%

Sig Str %

37%

89 / 170

Total Strikes

89 / 190

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 5

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:29

Ctrl Time

1:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Caio Borralho	6 / 22	13 / 30	0 / 2
1	Nassourdine Imavov	10 / 18	15 / 23	0 / 0
2	Caio Borralho	7 / 30	7 / 30	0 / 1
2	Nassourdine Imavov	13 / 26	13 / 26	0 / 0
3	Caio Borralho	17 / 38	21 / 42	0 / 1
3	Nassourdine Imavov	13 / 31	14 / 32	0 / 0
4	Caio Borralho	12 / 32	20 / 40	0 / 1
4	Nassourdine Imavov	24 / 44	26 / 46	0 / 0
5	Nassourdine Imavov	21 / 43	21 / 43	0 / 0
5	Caio Borralho	24 / 44	28 / 48	0 / 0

Nassourdine Imavov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11

Caio Borralho

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights9