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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jimy Hettes won · U-DEC R3

Elo1353

Elo1355

Nam PhanvsJimy HettesUFC Prediction Result

UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · Friday, December 30, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jimy Hettes won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNam Phan: Pressure fightervsJimy Hettes: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jimy Hettes wins(59.9%)

Actual result: Jimy Hettes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jimy Hettes at +155 American odds

+$155 profit

$255 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nam Phan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Jimy Hettes (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Nam Phan

Red Corner

Jimy Hettes

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+155

(39%)

1353

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'9"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nam PhanL3 streak

oldest →

vs Leonard Garcia · Oct 11

vs Cole Miller · Aug 12

vs Dennis Siver · Dec 12

vs Takeya Mizugaki · Dec 13

vs Vaughan Lee · Mar 14

latest

Jimy HettesL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Alex Caceres · Aug 11

vs Marcus Brimage · Sep 12

SUBvs Rob Whiteford · Oct 13

KOvs Dennis Bermudez · Mar 14

KOvs Diego Brandao · Apr 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nam PhanMetricJimy Hettes

4.52

Strikes / min

3.47

6.55

Strikes absorbed / min

3.50

59%

Strike defense

57%

0.18

TDs / 15 min

5.20

60%

Takedown defense

61%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.03Δ 2.00 — meaningful gap-0.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nam PhanJimy Hettes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nam Phan(8 fights)Jimy Hettes(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red +3.6|Blue -3.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -55.0|Blue +55.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nam PhanTargetJimy Hettes

By target zone

32% acc · 69%

Head

68% acc · 85%

57% acc · 25%

Body

92% acc · 14%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 1%

By position

38% acc · 88%

Distance

50% acc · 16%

50% acc · 6%

Clinch

73% acc · 10%

33% acc · 6%

Ground

77% acc · 74%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nam Phan rounds

even

Jimy Hettes rounds

Round 1Jimy Hettes edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

48Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

4:29Control

Round 2Jimy Hettes edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:35

11Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

3:43Control

Round 3Jimy Hettes edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:40Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 42

Sig Strikes

81 / 115

57%

Sig Str %

68%

25 / 52

Total Strikes

221 / 275

0 / 0

TDs

11 / 20

—

TD %

58%

Sub Att

Rev

0:35

Ctrl Time

11:52

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jimy Hettes	48 / 62	103 / 127	4 / 5	1
1	Nam Phan	2 / 2	3 / 3	0 / 0	0
2	Jimy Hettes	11 / 16	50 / 61	4 / 9	0
2	Nam Phan	5 / 13	13 / 22	0 / 0	0
3	Jimy Hettes	22 / 37	68 / 87	3 / 6	1
3	Nam Phan	9 / 27	9 / 27	0 / 0	0

Nam Phan

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8

Jimy Hettes

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6