Welterweight

3 Rounds

Nah-Shon Burrell won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1352

Nah-Shon BurrellvsYuri VillefortUFC Prediction Result

UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · Saturday, February 23, 2013Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Nah-Shon Burrell won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Yuri Villefort wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Nah-Shon Burrell wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yuri Villefort at -155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Nah-Shon Burrell

Red Corner

Yuri Villefort

Blue Corner

+145

(41%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1490

Elo

1352

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nah-Shon Burrell

oldest →

vs Stephen Thompson · May 13

latest

Yuri Villefort

oldest →

vs Sean Spencer · Sep 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nah-Shon BurrellMetricYuri Villefort

4.83

Strikes / min

3.18

3.45

Strikes absorbed / min

5.42

56%

Strike defense

55%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.00

52%

Takedown defense

40%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.38Δ 3.62 — meaningful gap-2.24

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nah-Shon Burrell(2 fights)Yuri Villefort(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +137.8|Blue -137.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nah-Shon BurrellTargetYuri Villefort

By target zone

51% acc · 79%

Head

29% acc · 50%

80% acc · 13%

Body

67% acc · 17%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

89% acc · 33%

By position

47% acc · 66%

Distance

43% acc · 90%

100% acc · 11%

Clinch

22% acc · 4%

88% acc · 23%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nah-Shon Burrell rounds

even

Yuri Villefort rounds

Round 1Nah-Shon Burrell edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:33

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:16Control

Round 2Nah-Shon Burrell edged it

Sig. strikes45

Takedowns0

Control0:10

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Nah-Shon Burrell edged it

Sig. strikes45

Takedowns0

Control1:37

7Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:37Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

121 / 216

Sig Strikes

48 / 112

57%

Sig Str %

39.7%

126 / 222

Total Strikes

49 / 114

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 6

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

2:20

Ctrl Time

2:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Yuri Villefort	13 / 31	14 / 32	1 / 2	1
1	Nah-Shon Burrell	31 / 58	31 / 58	0 / 0	0
2	Yuri Villefort	28 / 59	28 / 60	0 / 0	0
2	Nah-Shon Burrell	45 / 95	45 / 95	0 / 0	0
3	Yuri Villefort	7 / 22	7 / 22	2 / 4	0
3	Nah-Shon Burrell	45 / 63	50 / 69	0 / 0	1

Nah-Shon Burrell

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Yuri Villefort

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights2