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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ji Yeon Kim won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1377
Nadia Kassem
Elo1458
Ji Yeon Kim

Nadia KassemvsJi Yeon KimUFC Prediction Result

UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · Saturday, October 5, 2019Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

Official fight result

Ji Yeon Kim won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:59

Model Prediction: Ji Yeon Kim wins(64.2%)

Actual result: Ji Yeon Kim wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ji Yeon Kim at -175 American odds

+$57 profit

$157 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ji Yeon Kim enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Nadia Kassem (53.5%).
  • Ji Yeon Kim has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nadia Kassem
Red Corner
VS
Ji Yeon Kim
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-175
(64%)
1377
Elo
1458
30
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'7"
167.64 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nadia Kassem
oldest →
W
vs Alex Chambers · Nov 17
L
SUBvs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 19
latest
Ji Yeon KimL5 streak
oldest →
L
vs Alexa Grasso · Aug 20
L
vs Molly McCann · Sep 21
L
vs Priscila Cachoeira · Feb 22
L
vs Joselyne Edwards · Jul 22
L
vs Mandy Bohm · May 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nadia KassemMetricJi Yeon Kim
3.13
Strikes / min
5.37
4.48
Strikes absorbed / min
5.41
48%
Strike defense
56%
0.46
TDs / 15 min
0.00
40%
Takedown defense
50%
2.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.35Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap-0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes3.1 vs 4.5Takedowns0.5 vs 0.0Sub Atts2.80 vs 0.00Form-0.5 vs -0.1
Nadia KassemJi Yeon Kim

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Nadia Kassem(3 fights)Ji Yeon Kim(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -81.8|Blue +81.8
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff
Red -71.0|Blue +71.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nadia KassemTargetJi Yeon Kim

By target zone

9
13% acc · 20%
Head
64
42% acc · 80%
31
55% acc · 69%
Body
12
63% acc · 15%
5
63% acc · 11%
Leg
4
44% acc · 5%

By position

40
34% acc · 89%
Distance
74
44% acc · 93%
4
50% acc · 9%
Clinch
5
63% acc · 6%
1
25% acc · 2%
Ground
1
25% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Nadia Kassem rounds
0
even
1
Ji Yeon Kim rounds
Round 1Nadia Kassem edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control1:04
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 2Ji Yeon Kim edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
60Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
45 / 131
Sig Strikes
80 / 179
34.5%
Sig Str %
42.5%
53 / 139
Total Strikes
83 / 185
1 / 2
TDs
0 / 0
50%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:04
Ctrl Time
0:10

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ji Yeon Kim20 / 5422 / 590 / 00
1Nadia Kassem20 / 5328 / 611 / 20
2Ji Yeon Kim60 / 12561 / 1260 / 00
2Nadia Kassem25 / 7825 / 780 / 00

Nadia Kassem

StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights3

Ji Yeon Kim

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10