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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Ariane Carnelossi won · KO/TKO
Elo1493
Na Liang
Elo1477
Ariane Carnelossi

Na LiangvsAriane CarnelossiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Saturday, April 24, 2021Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Ariane Carnelossi won

KO/TKO

Model Prediction: Na Liang wins(64.5%)

Actual result: Ariane Carnelossi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Na Liang at +178 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Na Liang has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Na Liang
Red Corner
VS
Ariane Carnelossi
Blue Corner
+178
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-215
(68%)
1493
Elo
1477
24
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'2"
170.18 cm
Reach
154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Na LiangNo prior UFC fights on record.
Ariane CarnelossiL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Istela Nunes · Oct 21
L
vs Loopy Godinez · May 22
W
vs Piera Rodriguez · May 24
L
SUBvs Talita Alencar · Nov 25
L
KOvs Ketlen Souza · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Na LiangMetricAriane Carnelossi
—
Strikes / min
2.63
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.61
—
Strike defense
44%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.08
—
Takedown defense
22%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1482Strikes2.9 vs 5.2Takedowns7.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts2.30 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs -1.0
Na LiangAriane Carnelossi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Na Liang(1 fights)Ariane Carnelossi(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +16.2|Blue -16.2
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Grappler Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Na Liang

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights1

Ariane Carnelossi

StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach61.0"
Fights7