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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Myles Jury won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1371
Myles Jury
Elo1362
Takanori Gomi

Myles JuryvsTakanori GomiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · Saturday, September 20, 2014Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Myles Jury won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:32

Style matchupMyles Jury: WrestlervsTakanori Gomi: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Myles Jury wins(56.3%)

Actual result: Myles Jury wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Myles Jury at -605 American odds

+$17 profit

$117 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Takanori Gomi enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Takanori Gomi (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Myles Jury
Red Corner
VS
Takanori Gomi
Blue Corner
-605
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+505
(17%)
1371
Elo
1362
37
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'7"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Myles JuryL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 15
W
KOvs Mike de la Torre · Apr 17
W
vs Rick Glenn · Dec 17
L
KOvs Chad Mendes · Jul 18
L
vs Andre Fili · Feb 19
latest
Takanori GomiL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Apr 14
L
KOvs Joe Lauzon · Jul 15
L
KOvs Jim Miller · Jul 16
L
SUBvs Jon Tuck · Jun 17
L
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Sep 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Myles JuryMetricTakanori Gomi
2.94
Strikes / min
3.81
2.16
Strikes absorbed / min
3.52
66%
Strike defense
60%
2.16
TDs / 15 min
1.23
50%
Takedown defense
63%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1587 vs 1506Strikes28.2 vs 44.5Takedowns2.4 vs 0.1Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 0.5
Myles JuryTakanori Gomi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Myles Jury(10 fights)Takanori Gomi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +8.9|Blue -8.9
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Myles JuryTargetTakanori Gomi

By target zone

7
41% acc · 70%
Head
0
0% acc
1
25% acc · 10%
Body
1
100% acc · 100%
2
100% acc · 20%
Leg
0

By position

4
27% acc · 40%
Distance
1
25% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
6
75% acc · 60%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Myles Jury rounds
0
even
0
Takanori Gomi rounds
Round 1Myles Jury edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
10 / 23
Sig Strikes
1 / 4
43%
Sig Str %
25%
10 / 23
Total Strikes
1 / 4
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:05
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Takanori Gomi1 / 41 / 40 / 00
1Myles Jury10 / 2310 / 230 / 10

Myles Jury

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12

Takanori Gomi

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights13