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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Myles Jury won · SUB R1
Elo1371
Myles Jury
Elo1490

Myles JuryvsChris SaundersUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · Friday, June 1, 2012Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Myles Jury won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:03

Style matchupMyles Jury: WrestlervsChris Saunders: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Myles Jury wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Myles Jury wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Myles Jury at -310 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Myles Jury has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Myles Jury has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Myles Jury
Red Corner
VS
Chris Saunders
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
1371
Elo
1490
37
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
175 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Myles JuryL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 15
W
KOvs Mike de la Torre · Apr 17
W
vs Rick Glenn · Dec 17
L
KOvs Chad Mendes · Jul 18
L
vs Andre Fili · Feb 19
latest
Chris SaundersNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Myles JuryMetricChris Saunders
2.94
Strikes / min
1.48
2.16
Strikes absorbed / min
2.96
66%
Strike defense
75%
2.16
TDs / 15 min
3.70
50%
Takedown defense
0%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78Δ 2.26 — meaningful gap-1.48
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Myles Jury(10 fights)Chris Saunders(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -119.4|Blue +119.4
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Myles JuryTargetChris Saunders

By target zone

5
17% acc · 42%
Head
1
7% acc · 17%
2
40% acc · 17%
Body
0
0% acc
5
36% acc · 42%
Leg
5
42% acc · 83%

By position

12
24% acc · 100%
Distance
6
22% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Myles Jury rounds
1
even
0
Chris Saunders rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:36Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
12 / 49
Sig Strikes
6 / 27
24%
Sig Str %
22%
12 / 49
Total Strikes
6 / 27
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 1
TD %
100%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:36

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Chris Saunders6 / 276 / 271 / 10
1Myles Jury12 / 4912 / 490 / 01

Myles Jury

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12

Chris Saunders

Stance
Height68.0"
Reach
Fights1