Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Featherweight
3 Rounds
Chad Mendes won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1371
Myles Jury
Elo1491
Chad Mendes

Myles JuryvsChad MendesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · Saturday, July 14, 2018Boise, Idaho, USA

Official fight result

Chad Mendes won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:52

Style matchupMyles Jury: WrestlervsChad Mendes: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Chad Mendes wins(61.4%)

Actual result: Chad Mendes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chad Mendes at -120 American odds

+$83 profit

$183 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Chad Mendes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Chad Mendes has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Myles Jury has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Myles Jury
Red Corner
VS
Chad Mendes
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
1371
Elo
1491
37
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'6"
185.42 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Myles Jury
oldest →
L
vs Donald Cerrone · Jan 15
L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 15
W
KOvs Mike de la Torre · Apr 17
W
vs Rick Glenn · Dec 17
L
vs Andre Fili · Feb 19
latest
Chad MendesL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Jose Aldo · Oct 14
W
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Apr 15
L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 15
L
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 15
L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Dec 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Myles JuryMetricChad Mendes
2.94
Strikes / min
2.78
2.16
Strikes absorbed / min
2.35
66%
Strike defense
67%
2.16
TDs / 15 min
4.13
50%
Takedown defense
100%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1593 vs 1561Strikes24.8 vs 28.0Takedowns1.6 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.17Form0.8 vs -0.5
Myles JuryChad Mendes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Myles Jury(10 fights)Chad Mendes(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -120.6|Blue +120.6
Recent Form
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -750.0|Blue +750.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Myles JuryTargetChad Mendes

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
16
67% acc · 94%
1
100% acc · 33%
Body
0
2
40% acc · 67%
Leg
1
33% acc · 6%

By position

3
25% acc · 100%
Distance
2
40% acc · 12%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
15
68% acc · 88%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Myles Jury rounds
0
even
1
Chad Mendes rounds
Round 1Chad Mendes edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
3 / 12
Sig Strikes
17 / 27
25%
Sig Str %
62%
3 / 12
Total Strikes
17 / 27
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:26

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Chad Mendes17 / 2717 / 270 / 00
1Myles Jury3 / 123 / 120 / 00

Myles Jury

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12

Chad Mendes

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14