← All fights/Event page

Welterweight

3 Rounds

Uros Medic won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1507

Elo1539

Muslim SalikhovvsUros MedicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Saturday, November 8, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Uros Medic won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:03

Style matchupMuslim Salikhov: Well-roundedvsUros Medic: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Uros Medic wins(65.5%)

Actual result: Uros Medic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Uros Medic at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Muslim Salikhov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Uros Medic is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Muslim Salikhov has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Muslim Salikhov has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Uros Medic (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Muslim Salikhov

Red Corner

Uros Medic

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-130

(57%)

1507

Elo

1539

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'1"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Muslim SalikhovW3 streak

oldest →

vs Nicolas Dalby · Jun 23

KOvs Randy Brown · Feb 24

vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jul 24

KOvs Song Kenan · Nov 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Jul 25

latest

Uros MedicW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 23

KOvs Tim Means · Apr 24

KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jan 25

KOvs Gilbert Urbina · Aug 25

KOvs Geoff Neal · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Muslim SalikhovMetricUros Medic

3.37

Strikes / min

5.59

2.96

Strikes absorbed / min

3.42

62%

Strike defense

56%

1.07

TDs / 15 min

0.34

72%

Takedown defense

55%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.41Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap+2.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Muslim SalikhovUros Medic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Muslim Salikhov(10 fights)Uros Medic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -31.8|Blue +31.8

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Muslim SalikhovTargetUros Medic

By target zone

0% acc

Head

56% acc · 63%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 38%

67% acc · 100%

Leg

0% acc

By position

40% acc · 100%

Distance

56% acc · 63%

Clinch

Ground

75% acc · 38%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Muslim Salikhov rounds

even

Uros Medic rounds

Round 1Uros Medic edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 5

Sig Strikes

8 / 13

40%

Sig Str %

61%

2 / 5

Total Strikes

9 / 14

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Uros Medic	8 / 13	9 / 14	0 / 0	0
1	Muslim Salikhov	2 / 5	2 / 5	0 / 0	0

Muslim Salikhov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14

Uros Medic

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10