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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Muslim Salikhov won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1507

Elo1369

Muslim SalikhovvsRicky RaineyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · Saturday, April 14, 2018Glendale, Arizona, USA

Official fight result

Muslim Salikhov won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:12

Style matchupMuslim Salikhov: Well-roundedvsRicky Rainey: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Muslim Salikhov wins(56.9%)

Actual result: Muslim Salikhov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Muslim Salikhov at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Muslim Salikhov is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Ricky Rainey has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Muslim Salikhov has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Muslim Salikhov has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ricky Rainey (52.9%).
Ricky Rainey has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Muslim Salikhov

Red Corner

Ricky Rainey

Blue Corner

-210

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+175

(36%)

1507

Elo

1369

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'11"

Height

6'1"

177.8 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Muslim Salikhov

oldest →

KOvs Randy Brown · Feb 24

vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jul 24

KOvs Song Kenan · Nov 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Jul 25

KOvs Uros Medic · Nov 25

latest

Ricky Rainey

oldest →

KOvs Tim Means · Nov 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Muslim SalikhovMetricRicky Rainey

3.37

Strikes / min

2.55

2.96

Strikes absorbed / min

2.62

62%

Strike defense

46%

1.07

TDs / 15 min

0.95

72%

Takedown defense

55%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.41evenly matched on net striking-0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Muslim SalikhovRicky Rainey

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Muslim Salikhov(10 fights)Ricky Rainey(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +138.4|Blue -138.4

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Muslim SalikhovTargetRicky Rainey

By target zone

31% acc · 40%

Head

23% acc · 32%

100% acc · 32%

Body

86% acc · 32%

88% acc · 28%

Leg

64% acc · 37%

By position

50% acc · 88%

Distance

44% acc · 79%

0% acc

Clinch

40% acc · 21%

100% acc · 12%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Muslim Salikhov rounds

even

Ricky Rainey rounds

Round 1Ricky Rainey edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:05

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Muslim Salikhov edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:14

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 48

Sig Strikes

19 / 44

52.5%

Sig Str %

45%

26 / 49

Total Strikes

21 / 46

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:19

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ricky Rainey	11 / 29	11 / 29	0 / 1
1	Muslim Salikhov	8 / 25	9 / 26	0 / 2
2	Ricky Rainey	8 / 15	10 / 17	0 / 0
2	Muslim Salikhov	17 / 23	17 / 23	0 / 0

Muslim Salikhov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14

Ricky Rainey

StanceSwitch

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights2