← All fights/Event page

Welterweight

3 Rounds

Muslim Salikhov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1507

Elo1410

Muslim SalikhovvsLaureano StaropoliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · Saturday, October 26, 2019Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Muslim Salikhov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Laureano Staropoli wins(54.1%)

Actual result: Muslim Salikhov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Laureano Staropoli at +145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Laureano Staropoli enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Muslim Salikhov has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Muslim Salikhov

Red Corner

Laureano Staropoli

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1507

Elo

1410

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'1"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Muslim Salikhov

oldest →

KOvs Randy Brown · Feb 24

vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jul 24

KOvs Song Kenan · Nov 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Jul 25

KOvs Uros Medic · Nov 25

latest

Laureano StaropoliL3 streak

oldest →

vs Hector Aldana · Nov 18

vs Thiago Alves · May 19

DECvs Tim Means · Aug 20

vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 21

vs Jamie Pickett · Oct 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Muslim SalikhovMetricLaureano Staropoli

3.37

Strikes / min

3.31

2.96

Strikes absorbed / min

3.73

62%

Strike defense

54%

1.07

TDs / 15 min

0.83

72%

Takedown defense

48%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.41evenly matched on net striking-0.42

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Muslim SalikhovLaureano Staropoli

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Muslim Salikhov(10 fights)Laureano Staropoli(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +97.8|Blue -97.8

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -2.6|Blue +2.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -119.0|Blue +119.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Muslim SalikhovTargetLaureano Staropoli

By target zone

39% acc · 65%

Head

24% acc · 62%

75% acc · 24%

Body

52% acc · 31%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

45% acc · 78%

Distance

30% acc · 95%

61% acc · 17%

Clinch

67% acc · 5%

60% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Muslim Salikhov rounds

even

Laureano Staropoli rounds

Round 1Muslim Salikhov edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Muslim Salikhov edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns2

Control0:04

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control0:26

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

63 / 132

Sig Strikes

42 / 138

45.3%

Sig Str %

27.7%

64 / 133

Total Strikes

48 / 144

3 / 5

TDs

0 / 3

66.5%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:30

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Laureano Staropoli	6 / 25	6 / 25	0 / 0
1	Muslim Salikhov	8 / 21	8 / 21	0 / 0
2	Laureano Staropoli	9 / 39	10 / 40	0 / 1
2	Muslim Salikhov	33 / 61	34 / 62	2 / 2
3	Laureano Staropoli	27 / 74	32 / 79	0 / 2
3	Muslim Salikhov	22 / 50	22 / 50	1 / 3

Muslim Salikhov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14

Laureano Staropoli

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6