Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Upcoming
Elo1507
Muslim Salikhov
Elo1521
Jake Matthews

Muslim SalikhovvsJake MatthewsUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, May 30, 2026Macau, China

Fight begins in
Style matchupMuslim Salikhov: Well-roundedvsJake Matthews: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

Muslim Salikhov vs Jake Matthews is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.

Unlock every pick — $9/month

Tale of the Tape

Muslim Salikhov
Red Corner
VS
Jake Matthews
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1507
Elo
1521
42
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Muslim Salikhov
oldest →
L
KOvs Randy Brown · Feb 24
W
vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jul 24
W
KOvs Song Kenan · Nov 24
W
KOvs Carlos Leal · Jul 25
L
KOvs Uros Medic · Nov 25
latest
Jake Matthews
oldest →
W
vs Phil Rowe · Jun 24
W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25
W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25
L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25
W
DECvs Carlston Harris · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Muslim SalikhovMetricJake Matthews
3.37
Strikes / min
3.34
2.96
Strikes absorbed / min
2.62
62%
Strike defense
60%
1.07
TDs / 15 min
1.44
72%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41evenly matched on net striking+0.72
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Muslim Salikhov(10 fights)Jake Matthews(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -14.2|Blue +14.2
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO51%

Historical win share: Muslim Salikhov earned 56% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission39%

Historical win share: Jake Matthews earned 38% of wins by submission.

Decision9%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Muslim Salikhov

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights14

Jake Matthews

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights25