Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Movsar Evloev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Aljamain Sterling enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Movsar Evloev has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Movsar EvloevW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Jun 21W
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 24W
vs Lerone Murphy · Mar 26 Aljamain SterlingW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Henry Cejudo · May 23L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23W
vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25W
DECvs Youssef Zalal · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Movsar EvloevMetricAljamain Sterling
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.11evenly matched on net striking+2.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Movsar EvloevAljamain Sterling
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Movsar Evloev(10 fights)Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +12.0|Blue -12.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Movsar EvloevTargetAljamain Sterling
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Aljamain Sterling rounds
Round 1Aljamain Sterling edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns1
Control0:55
3Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:49Control
Round 2Movsar Evloev edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns2
Control3:25
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:48Control
Round 3Aljamain Sterling edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control1:49
4Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:39Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
