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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Mounir Lazzez won · U-DEC R3
Elo1496
Mounir Lazzez
Elo1484

Mounir LazzezvsAnge LoosaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · Saturday, April 16, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mounir Lazzez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMounir Lazzez: Pressure fightervsAnge Loosa: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Mounir Lazzez wins(69.1%)

Actual result: Mounir Lazzez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mounir Lazzez at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Mounir Lazzez
Red Corner
VS
Ange Loosa
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
1496
Elo
1484
38
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mounir LazzezL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Jul 20
L
KOvs Warlley Alves · Jan 21
L
SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jan 23
latest
Ange LoosaL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs AJ Fletcher · Aug 22
W
vs Rhys McKee · Sep 23
L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 24
L
KOvs Phil Rowe · Jun 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mounir LazzezMetricAnge Loosa
7.49
Strikes / min
5.46
5.42
Strikes absorbed / min
6.59
53%
Strike defense
52%
1.80
TDs / 15 min
2.53
71%
Takedown defense
83%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.07Δ 3.20 — meaningful gap-1.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1504 vs 1500Strikes7.5 vs 5.6Takedowns1.8 vs 2.4Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.20Form-0.2 vs 0.0
Mounir LazzezAnge Loosa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Mounir Lazzez(4 fights)Ange Loosa(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +11.3|Blue -11.3
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mounir LazzezTargetAnge Loosa

By target zone

98
47% acc · 70%
Head
34
24% acc · 39%
23
74% acc · 16%
Body
14
58% acc · 16%
20
95% acc · 14%
Leg
40
83% acc · 45%

By position

138
54% acc · 98%
Distance
88
41% acc · 100%
3
60% acc · 2%
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Mounir Lazzez rounds
0
even
0
Ange Loosa rounds
Round 1Mounir Lazzez edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:39
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 2Mounir Lazzez edged it
Sig. strikes44
Takedowns0
Control0:23
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Mounir Lazzez edged it
Sig. strikes68
Takedowns0
Control0:00
48Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
141 / 260
Sig Strikes
88 / 213
53.3%
Sig Str %
39.3%
141 / 260
Total Strikes
91 / 216
0 / 2
TDs
0 / 2
0%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:02
Ctrl Time
0:08

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ange Loosa14 / 4016 / 420 / 00
1Mounir Lazzez29 / 5329 / 530 / 10
2Ange Loosa26 / 7427 / 750 / 10
2Mounir Lazzez44 / 8744 / 870 / 10
3Ange Loosa48 / 9948 / 990 / 10
3Mounir Lazzez68 / 12068 / 1200 / 00

Mounir Lazzez

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4

Ange Loosa

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5