Featherweight

3 Rounds

Morgan Charriere won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1502

Elo1472

Morgan CharrierevsManolo ZecchiniUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Saturday, September 2, 2023Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Morgan Charriere won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:51

Style matchupMorgan Charriere: WrestlervsManolo Zecchini: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Morgan Charriere wins(72.4%)

Actual result: Morgan Charriere wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Morgan Charriere at -375 American odds

+$27 profit

$127 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Morgan Charriere is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Manolo Zecchini has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Morgan Charriere has 83pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.

Tale of the Tape

Morgan Charriere

Red Corner

Manolo Zecchini

Blue Corner

-375

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+295

(25%)

1502

Elo

1472

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Morgan Charriere

oldest →

vs Chepe Mariscal · Apr 24

KOvs Gabriel Miranda · Sep 24

vs Nathaniel Wood · Mar 25

KOvs Nate Landwehr · Jul 25

KOvs Melquizael Costa · Dec 25

latest

Manolo Zecchini

oldest →

KOvs Tommy McMillen · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Morgan CharriereMetricManolo Zecchini

4.02

Strikes / min

3.72

4.51

Strikes absorbed / min

12.82

53%

Strike defense

45%

2.06

TDs / 15 min

0.00

83%

Takedown defense

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.49Δ 8.61 — meaningful gap-9.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Morgan CharriereManolo Zecchini

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Morgan Charriere(6 fights)Manolo Zecchini(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +29.6|Blue -29.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Morgan CharriereTargetManolo Zecchini

By target zone

43% acc · 62%

Head

17% acc · 56%

88% acc · 27%

Body

25% acc · 11%

75% acc · 12%

Leg

43% acc · 33%

By position

53% acc · 96%

Distance

22% acc · 100%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Morgan Charriere rounds

even

Manolo Zecchini rounds

Round 1Morgan Charriere edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 49

Sig Strikes

9 / 41

53%

Sig Str %

21%

26 / 49

Total Strikes

9 / 41

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Manolo Zecchini	9 / 41	9 / 41	0 / 0	0
1	Morgan Charriere	26 / 49	26 / 49	0 / 0	0

Morgan Charriere

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6

Manolo Zecchini

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights2