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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Daria Zhelezniakova won · U-DEC R3
Elo1499
Elo1490

Montserrat RendonvsDaria ZhelezniakovaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · Saturday, March 23, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Daria Zhelezniakova won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Montserrat Rendon wins(70.1%)

Actual result: Daria Zhelezniakova wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Montserrat Rendon at +245 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Montserrat Rendon
Red Corner
VS
Daria Zhelezniakova
Blue Corner
+245
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-305
(75%)
1499
Elo
1490
35
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Montserrat Rendon
oldest →
W
vs Tamires Vidal · Sep 23
latest
Daria Zhelezniakova
oldest →
L
SUBvs Ailin Perez · Sep 24
W
vs Melissa Mullins · Jun 25
L
DECvs Melissa Croden · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Montserrat RendonMetricDaria Zhelezniakova
—
Strikes / min
4.13
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.38
—
Strike defense
64%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.31
—
Takedown defense
50%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1500Strikes3.1 vs 3.8Takedowns3.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 0.0
Montserrat RendonDaria Zhelezniakova

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Montserrat Rendon(2 fights)Daria Zhelezniakova(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +8.5|Blue -8.5
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Montserrat Rendon

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights1

Daria Zhelezniakova

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights3