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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Montse Rendon won · S-DEC R3
Elo1492
Elo1512

Montse RendonvsAlice PereiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Saturday, September 13, 2025San Antonio, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Montse Rendon won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Montse Rendon wins(58.6%)

Actual result: Montse Rendon wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Montse Rendon at +138 American odds

+$138 profit

$238 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Montse Rendon
Red Corner
VS
Alice Pereira
Blue Corner
+138
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-164
(62%)
1492
Elo
1512
37
Age
20
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Montse Rendon
oldest →
L
SUBvs Bia Mesquita · Mar 26
latest
Alice Pereira
oldest →
W
KOvs Hailey Cowan · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Montse RendonMetricAlice Pereira
2.95
Strikes / min
2.83
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.11
57%
Strike defense
66%
1.91
TDs / 15 min
0.00
85%
Takedown defense
75%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.70evenly matched on net striking-0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes3.0 vs 2.5Takedowns1.9 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.0
Montse RendonAlice Pereira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701485150015151530← oldermost recent →
Montse Rendon(2 fights)Alice Pereira(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -19.9|Blue +19.9
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Montse RendonTargetAlice Pereira

By target zone

31
23% acc · 69%
Head
29
28% acc · 78%
6
43% acc · 13%
Body
7
58% acc · 19%
8
50% acc · 18%
Leg
1
50% acc · 3%

By position

43
26% acc · 96%
Distance
35
30% acc · 95%
2
67% acc · 4%
Clinch
2
100% acc · 5%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Montse Rendon rounds
1
even
1
Alice Pereira rounds
Round 1Alice Pereira edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:21
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Montse Rendon edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control1:07
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:17
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
45 / 166
Sig Strikes
37 / 117
26.7%
Sig Str %
31.7%
60 / 185
Total Strikes
43 / 123
0 / 5
TDs
0 / 3
0%
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:45
Ctrl Time
0:19

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Alice Pereira14 / 4114 / 410 / 00
1Montse Rendon11 / 4015 / 440 / 40
2Alice Pereira10 / 4210 / 420 / 10
2Montse Rendon20 / 6231 / 770 / 01
3Alice Pereira13 / 3419 / 400 / 20
3Montse Rendon14 / 6414 / 640 / 10

Montse Rendon

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights2

Alice Pereira

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2