Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raoni Barcelos won · Decision R3
Elo1499
Montel Jackson
Elo1550
Raoni Barcelos

Montel JacksonvsRaoni BarcelosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Saturday, April 25, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Raoni Barcelos won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMontel Jackson: WrestlervsRaoni Barcelos: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Montel Jackson wins(61.4%)

Actual result: Raoni Barcelos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Raoni Barcelos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Raoni Barcelos has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Montel Jackson has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Montel Jackson
Red Corner
VS
Raoni Barcelos
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1499
Elo
1550
34
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
190.5 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Montel Jackson
oldest →
W
vs Julio Arce · Nov 22
W
KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 23
W
KOvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 24
W
vs Daniel Marcos · May 25
L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Oct 25
latest
Raoni BarcelosW4 streak
oldest →
L
vs Kyler Phillips · Aug 23
W
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24
W
vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25
W
vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25
W
vs Ricky Simon · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Montel JacksonMetricRaoni Barcelos
3.02
Strikes / min
4.65
1.40
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
60%
Strike defense
60%
2.71
TDs / 15 min
2.51
67%
Takedown defense
87%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.62Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap+0.41
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801503152515481570← oldermost recent →
Montel Jackson(10 fights)Raoni Barcelos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -50.7|Blue +50.7
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Montel Jackson

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights13

Raoni Barcelos

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15