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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Montel Jackson won · KO/TKO

Elo1499

Elo1418

Montel JacksonvsJesse StraderUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · Saturday, March 20, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Montel Jackson won

KO/TKO

Style matchupMontel Jackson: WrestlervsJesse Strader: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Montel Jackson wins(59.3%)

Actual result: Montel Jackson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Montel Jackson at -600 American odds

+$17 profit

$117 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Montel Jackson has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jesse Strader has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Montel Jackson (53.5%).
Montel Jackson has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Montel Jackson

Red Corner

Jesse Strader

Blue Corner

-600

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+450

(18%)

1499

Elo

1418

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'7"

190.5 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Montel JacksonL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 23

KOvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 24

vs Daniel Marcos · May 25

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Oct 25

DECvs Raoni Barcelos · Apr 26

latest

Jesse Strader

oldest →

KOvs Chad Anheliger · Feb 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Montel JacksonMetricJesse Strader

3.02

Strikes / min

5.03

1.40

Strikes absorbed / min

5.28

60%

Strike defense

47%

2.71

TDs / 15 min

3.87

67%

Takedown defense

100%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.62Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap-0.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Montel JacksonJesse Strader

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Montel Jackson(10 fights)Jesse Strader(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +81.4|Blue -81.4

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -48.9|Blue +48.9

Grappler Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Montel JacksonTargetJesse Strader

By target zone

50% acc · 73%

Head

43% acc · 21%

100% acc · 13%

Body

43% acc · 21%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

73% acc · 57%

By position

42% acc · 33%

Distance

55% acc · 86%

75% acc · 20%

Clinch

0% acc

70% acc · 47%

Ground

100% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Montel Jackson rounds

even

Jesse Strader rounds

Round 1Montel Jackson edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:16

Knockdowns2

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 26

Sig Strikes

14 / 25

57%

Sig Str %

56%

15 / 26

Total Strikes

14 / 25

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:16

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jesse Strader	14 / 25	14 / 25	0 / 0	0
1	Montel Jackson	15 / 26	15 / 26	0 / 0	0

Montel Jackson

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights13

Jesse Strader

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights2