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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Montel Jackson won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1499
Montel Jackson
Elo1510

Montel JacksonvsDa'Mon BlackshearUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Saturday, July 13, 2024Denver, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Montel Jackson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:18

Style matchupMontel Jackson: WrestlervsDa'Mon Blackshear: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Montel Jackson wins(69.1%)

Actual result: Montel Jackson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Montel Jackson at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Da'Mon Blackshear (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Montel Jackson
Red Corner
VS
Da'Mon Blackshear
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
1499
Elo
1510
34
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Montel JacksonL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Julio Arce · Nov 22
W
KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 23
W
vs Daniel Marcos · May 25
L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Oct 25
L
DECvs Raoni Barcelos · Apr 26
latest
Da'Mon Blackshear
oldest →
L
vs Mario Bautista · Aug 23
W
SUBvs Cody Stamann · Nov 24
W
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Mar 25
W
vs Alatengheili · Apr 25
L
vs Davey Grant · Jul 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Montel JacksonMetricDa'Mon Blackshear
3.02
Strikes / min
4.33
1.40
Strikes absorbed / min
4.19
60%
Strike defense
52%
2.71
TDs / 15 min
1.48
67%
Takedown defense
71%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.62Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+0.14

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1579 vs 1502Strikes3.4 vs 4.3Takedowns3.4 vs 2.3Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.80Form1.0 vs 0.1
Montel JacksonDa'Mon Blackshear

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Montel Jackson(10 fights)Da'Mon Blackshear(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -11.0|Blue +11.0
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +119.0|Blue -119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Montel JacksonTargetDa'Mon Blackshear

By target zone

4
80% acc · 100%
Head
0
0
0% acc
Body
0
0
Leg
1
100% acc · 100%

By position

1
33% acc · 25%
Distance
1
100% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
3
100% acc · 75%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Montel Jackson rounds
0
even
0
Da'Mon Blackshear rounds
Round 1Montel Jackson edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
4 / 6
Sig Strikes
1 / 1
66%
Sig Str %
100%
4 / 6
Total Strikes
1 / 1
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Da'Mon Blackshear1 / 11 / 10 / 00
1Montel Jackson4 / 64 / 60 / 00

Montel Jackson

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights13

Da'Mon Blackshear

StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9