Skip to content
Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Montel Jackson won · U-DEC R3
Elo1499
Montel Jackson
Elo1376
Andre Soukhamthath

Montel JacksonvsAndre SoukhamthathUFC Prediction Result

UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · Saturday, April 13, 2019Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Montel Jackson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMontel Jackson: WrestlervsAndre Soukhamthath: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Andre Soukhamthath wins(53.5%)

Actual result: Montel Jackson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Soukhamthath at +450 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Montel Jackson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Montel Jackson (53.5%).
  • Montel Jackson has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Montel Jackson
Red Corner
VS
Andre Soukhamthath
Blue Corner
-600
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
1499
Elo
1376
34
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Montel JacksonL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 23
W
KOvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 24
W
vs Daniel Marcos · May 25
L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Oct 25
L
DECvs Raoni Barcelos · Apr 26
latest
Andre Soukhamthath
oldest →
L
vs Alejandro Perez · Aug 17
W
KOvs Luke Sanders · Dec 17
L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 18
W
vs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 18
L
vs Su Mudaerji · Aug 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Montel JacksonMetricAndre Soukhamthath
3.02
Strikes / min
2.77
1.40
Strikes absorbed / min
4.31
60%
Strike defense
49%
2.71
TDs / 15 min
1.25
67%
Takedown defense
58%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.62Δ 3.16 — meaningful gap-1.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1503 vs 1489Strikes26.0 vs 42.6Takedowns1.0 vs 1.4Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.20Form0.2 vs 0.2
Montel JacksonAndre Soukhamthath

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Montel Jackson(10 fights)Andre Soukhamthath(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +123.8|Blue -123.8
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Montel JacksonTargetAndre Soukhamthath

By target zone

38
49% acc · 59%
Head
6
18% acc · 20%
17
89% acc · 27%
Body
7
70% acc · 23%
9
90% acc · 14%
Leg
17
89% acc · 57%

By position

38
49% acc · 59%
Distance
26
45% acc · 87%
11
79% acc · 17%
Clinch
4
100% acc · 13%
15
100% acc · 23%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Montel Jackson rounds
0
even
0
Andre Soukhamthath rounds
Round 1Montel Jackson edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns2
Control1:25
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Montel Jackson edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns1
Control1:54
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Montel Jackson edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control4:25
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:06Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
64 / 107
Sig Strikes
30 / 62
62.3%
Sig Str %
42.7%
160 / 218
Total Strikes
41 / 73
3 / 4
TDs
1 / 1
75%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
7:44
Ctrl Time
0:06

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Andre Soukhamthath17 / 2918 / 300 / 00
1Montel Jackson15 / 3225 / 422 / 20
2Andre Soukhamthath11 / 2615 / 300 / 00
2Montel Jackson29 / 5257 / 831 / 20
3Andre Soukhamthath2 / 78 / 131 / 10
3Montel Jackson20 / 2378 / 930 / 00

Montel Jackson

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights13

Andre Soukhamthath

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7