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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Montana De La Rosa won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1499
Elo1495

Montana De La RosavsAriane LipskiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Saturday, June 5, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Montana De La Rosa won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:27

Model Prediction: Montana De La Rosa wins(73.2%)

Actual result: Montana De La Rosa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Montana De La Rosa at -114 American odds

+$88 profit

$188 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Montana De La Rosa
Red Corner
VS
Ariane Lipski
Blue Corner
-114
(53%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
1499
Elo
1495
31
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Montana De La Rosa
oldest →
L
vs Viviane Araujo · Sep 20
L
vs Maycee Barber · Apr 22
L
SUBvs Tatiana Suarez · Feb 23
L
vs JJ Aldrich · Oct 23
W
vs Andrea Lee · Jun 24
latest
Ariane Lipski
oldest →
W
DECvs Isabela De Pauda · Nov 19
W
SUBvs Luana Carolina · Jul 20
L
KOvs Antonina Shevchenko · Nov 20
W
vs Mandy Bohm · Sep 21
L
KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Aug 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Montana De La RosaMetricAriane Lipski
2.90
Strikes / min
—
3.39
Strikes absorbed / min
—
45%
Strike defense
—
1.85
TDs / 15 min
—
68%
Takedown defense
—
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1528 vs 1488Strikes2.9 vs 2.8Takedowns2.3 vs 0.2Sub Atts1.10 vs 0.50Form-0.2 vs -0.1
Montana De La RosaAriane Lipski

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Montana De La Rosa(10 fights)Ariane Lipski(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +4.1|Blue -4.1
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Montana De La Rosa

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights11

Ariane Lipski

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4